AL Rookie of the Year Sleepers for 2020 – 5 Value Bets to Consider

By Noah Davis in MLB
| April 1, 2020 5:43 am PDT
MLB - AL Rookie OTY Sleepers

I recently took a look at the top favorites to win the 2020 AL Rookie of the Year award. It’s a competitive field, but Chicago’s Luis Robert took the cake.

While the White Sox slugger is my pick to win, that doesn’t mean he will. One of the top challengers could take him, or a sneaky sleeper could rise up and shock the baseball world.

The latter is what brings me back to the topic, as there is a lot of value when you look at the 2020 AL Rookie of the Year odds.

The top MLB sportsbooks point to Robert, but these AL Rookie of the Year sleepers deserve your attention.

Nate Pearson, SP, Blue Jays (+2000)

One of the best pitching prospects in baseball, Pearson has a nice path to Rookie of the Year glory in 2020.

Pearson enjoyed a stellar 2019 run in the minor leagues, posting a strong 2.30 ERA and 119 strikeouts. The Blue Jays youngster looks ready to make the leap to the majors, and Toronto’s lack of reliable pitching should give him a chance to impress early.

Wander Franco, SS, Rays (+2000)

Arguably the top prospect in all of baseball, the 18-year-old Franco does just about everything well and could be ready to hit the majors this year.

He’s a sleeper due to his youth, though, as it’s no sure thing he makes the full-time jump in 2020. That said, he’s an elite talent that can get on base with ease and is absurdly efficient.

Franco passes the eye test in virtually every facet of the game, ensuring he’s on the fast track to stardom in the MLB. The question is if Tampa Bay will give him the promotion and if it sticks.

Ryan Mountcastle, 1B, Orioles (+3300)

The top pick in the 2015 MLB Draft, Ryan Mountcastle may finally be ready for his big move to the majors.

You’d think it’d be easy to leave a lasting mark on a bad Baltimore team, too, which suggests 2020 could be the year he arrives.

Mountcastle isn’t regarded as an elite defensive prospect, but he figures to be one of the most promising hitters coming out of the minors.

He was underwhelming during spring training this year, but his 25 homers and 83 RBI in the minors last year should keep him on your AL Rookie of the Year betting radar.

Bobby Dalbec, 3B, Red Sox (+6600)

A lot is changing for Boston, who traded away Mookie Betts this offseason and also just lost star ace Chris Sale for the year.

It may make sense to just punt on the 2020 season. Either way, adding Bobby Dalbec to the regular roster could make good sense, as the former 4th-round pick offers plenty of power.

The issue right now is the Red Sox have too many viable bodies in front of him. Should Rafael Devers go down or Michael Chavis get hurt, though, we could see his long ball hit Fenway Park.

Bobby Bradley, 1B, Indians (+6600)

Bradley will give it another go in 2020 after failing to impress across 15 games last season. It was a small sample size, however, and anyone who has seen Bradley knows he’s a star masher in the making.

It’s only been the minors, but Bradley has been cracking out home runs for years. Still just 23, he could be ready to take the next step with the Indians, who could bring him back up and try him out at DH again.

Strikeouts and a general lack of efficiency could hold him back, but the sheer power and upside are tantalizing at this price.

Summary

As I said in my AL Rookie of the Year betting preview, I still think this is Luis Robert’s race to lose. He’s facing a solid field, but one of the biggest issues for a lot of these guys is an actual path to playing time.

At least starting out, Robert is on the Chicago roster to start the year, and they’re going to give him every chance to succeed.

Of the 2020 AL Rookie of the Year sleepers, though, it’s tough to ignore Franco. The talent is immeasurable, and the upside is also tough to really cap.

He can literally do everything at a high level, and his case would only be stronger if he somehow comes in at 18 and tears up the majors. Robert is still the best option for bettors, but Franco is going to be fun to watch (and an interesting wager) if he makes the jump in 2020.

For more MLB betting news, odds, and much more, bookmark our MLB blog.

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