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Advice for NBA DFS on Thursday, April 29 (2021)

| April 29, 2021 6:16 am PDT

Thursday could present an interesting NBA DFS slate. There are a lot of mismatches on the schedule, some thick point spreads, and general uncertainty.

There is an impressive amount to be decided despite just six games dropping on the schedule.

I tackled most of it in Thursday’s NBA picks, but I’ll try to clear things up further with my favorite NBA DFS picks, sleepers, and top lineup for April 29th.

Best NBA DFS Picks for April 29th

  • Stephen Curry, PG, Warriors ($10.3k)
  • Luguentz Dort, SG, Thunder ($6.5k)
  • Josh Jackson, SF, Pistons ($5.8k)
  • Kevin Durant, PF, Nets ($8.5k)
  • Isaiah Stewart, C, Pistons ($6k)

Despite this being a smaller slate, there are several expensive studs worth paying up for. I might just take a stand and do two things at once here; use a somewhat contrarian stud and stack a game.

The game at hand should be the showdown between the Warriors and Timberwolves, which could be an explosive shootout.

I’ll also focus on Stephen Curry, who keeps dropping bombs, willing his team to wins, and chasing records.

Stephen Curry

Chef Curry should serve up a nice dish of points tonight, and unlike someone like Giannis Antetokounmpo, I’d expect he has a shot at playing the entire game.

He’s also a little cheaper than the other studs, but a 60+ fantasy point outing is still on the table.

There is already solid value available to us, but you can settle on some nice mid-range options like Lou Dort. His price feels weird, but he’s the main man for OKC.

Provided Dort is fully healthy, it’s tough to ignore his role, recent production (31+ fantasy points in five straight), and a mouth-watering matchup with a bad Pelicans defense.

We shouldn’t be forgetting about his epic 42-point outing so soon, after all.

Detroit is probably going to be the best source of value tonight. They’re at home against the Mavs, who could also be without their two best players in Luka Doncic and Kristaps Porzingis.

Even if that isn’t the case, the Pistons have announced they are resting their key veterans. The young guys will get a full workload, and that includes a nicely priced Josh Jackson.

The question, of course, is how many Pistons is too many Pistons?

KD is too cheap. He logged 33 minutes in his second game back from an injury, but his price barely budged. If he’s going to be locked into 32-35 minutes, he is a core play for me.

Obviously, Nikola Jokic and a few other guys stand out as nice elite options to get to, but I have to mention another Piston in Isaiah Stewart.

Mason Plumlee is among the Detroit players ruled out, and Stewart has crushed in extended run when the main starters are out. His date with Dallas is not good on paper, but the price, role, and upside are too good to ignore here.

NBA DFS Sleepers for Thursday

  • Killian Hayes, PG, Pistons ($4.4k)
  • Jalen Brunson, SG, Mavericks ($4.5k)
  • Saddiq Bey, SF, Pistons ($4.9k)
  • Oshae Brissett, PF, Pacers ($5.3k)
  • Willy Hernangomez, C, Pelicans ($4.1k)
Killian Hayes

It’s all about the Pistons and the Pacers, which makes most of Thursday’s daily fantasy basketball sleepers quite self-explanatory.

Detroit sitting three key veterans in Cory Joseph, Mason Plumlee, and Jerami Grant is the big piece of news, and that puts all of their young guys in play.

Hayes is way too cheap given his role, and Bey is also probably too cheap. Both become core plays, and it really is not that crazy to pile them on with Josh Jackson and Isaiah Stewart.

I’d just consider playing the ownership game there and employing a calculated fade for the player of your choosing.

Indy is still without their top two big men in Domantas Sabonis and Myles Turner, so I’ll have a major interest in Oshae Brissett again.

Goga Bitadze is ideally also still out, but Brissett has been blowout-proof, and I think I’m done playing Jakarr Sampson roulette.

Hernangomez did not work out last night due to Steven Adams being active, but this is the second night of a back-to-back set. If Adams takes a breather again on Thursday, Willy or perhaps Jaxson Hayes have a chance to offer nice salary relief.

Thursday’s Top NBA DFS Lineup

  • PG: Killian Hayes – Pistons ($4.4k)
  • SG: Josh Jackson – Pistons ($5.8k)
  • SF: Saddiq Bey – Pistons ($4.9k)
  • PF: Kevin Durant – Nets ($8.5k)
  • C: Isaiah Stewart – Pistons ($6k)
  • G: Facundo Campazzo – Nuggets ($4.6k)
  • F: Oshae Brissett – Pacers ($5.3k)
  • UTIL: Stephen Curry – Warriors ($10.3k)

A lot can change between now and Thursday’s lineup lock, but here’s what won’t; you’re going to want some exposure to the Pistons.

There will be blowout risk if the Mavs send out their main guys. If you’re stacking the Pistons to soak up the value, though, there would be merit in crossing your fingers that paying up for Luka works out.

If Doncic is out, the Pistons still rule the day, but suddenly you can start meshing Dallas values in with them. I touched on Jalen Brunson, but you’d want to expand your interest there.

Brissett is my value of choice out of Indiana, but I’d need Goga to sit. If he’s in, I’d consider the Pacers’ stars in an up-tempo showdown with Brooklyn, but the main piece of that game that stands out is Durant.

Campazzo is filler for now. He allows me to get my current preferred stud in Curry, and if I don’t want to stay on him, I could potentially pivot to Brunson if Doncic rests.

Beyond all of this, I’ll look to manipulate projected ownership. If Curry is the chalk, I’ll gladly pivot to Giannis or Jokic. If he’s contrarian, I’ll stick, and so on.

It’s an early look at some of the best NBA DFS picks, but it’s a small slate and hopefully things don’t change so much that this advice is obsolete.

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Noah Davis

Noah Davis is one of the more diverse writers at GamblingSites.com. Like many of his colleagues, he's a huge fan of both football and basketball. But he also writes about box office records, TV show prop bets, DFS, and all kinds of other subjects.

When it comes to the NFL, Noah's favorite team is the Cleveland Browns. He enjoys cheering them on with his wife and daughter.

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