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Advice for NBA DFS on Monday, May 10 (2021)
Monday greets daily fantasy basketball fans with a palatable six-game slate. It’s honestly my favorite slate size, and there’s also enough incentive here for most of the teams to give us some good games.
I broke it down from a betting perspective in Monday’s NBA picks, but there should be a few strong spots to target daily fantasy basketball options.
Who will be the best plays that you’ll want to offer? Join me as I figure that out in tonight’s NBA DFS picks, sleepers, and top lineup.
Best NBA DFS Picks for May 10th
- Russell Westbrook, PG, Wizards ($11k)
- Bogdan Bogdanovic, SG, Hawks ($7k)
- Jae’Sean Tate, SF, Rockets ($6.5k)
- KJ Martin Jr., PF, Rockets ($6.2k)
- Willy Hernangomez, C, Pelicans ($5.7k)
It has gotten to the point where we may want to lock Russ into our NBA DFS lineups, and it also may be wise to just stack Wizards games.
Westbrook dropped an insane 87 fantasy points in his last outing and he is topped 81+ fantasy points in three of his last four games. Despite this – and an awesome matchup against Trae Young and the Hawks – his price has (gulp) come down.
Russ will probably be over 60% owned in all formats but fading him is increasingly dangerous. I doubt I’ll be going that route tonight, while the absence of Bradley Beal cements that fact even more.
Wizards star Bradley Beal is out Monday vs. Hawks with left hamstring strain.— Shams Charania (@ShamsCharania) May 9, 2021
On the other side of that Wizards game is a fantastic mid-range play in Bogdanovic. I know getting to Trae Young and/or Clint Capela will feel better, but this guy is a bit too cheap for his role and matchup tonight.
Boggy has been rock solid, topping 34+ fantasy points in each of his last eight games. In this setting, he has 40+ fantasy point upside and I’d be shocked if he fell short.
Tate smashed in just 29 minutes after returning from a knee injury, and it will be hard not to love him if Houston remains short staffed on Monday.
Keep an eye on the status of Christian Wood and Kelly Olynyk, but if either are out, Tate would be a great option at this price.
The same goes for Martin, who is a little cheaper, but would also be locked into a massive role. The matchup with Portland is solid on paper, and Martin has been crushing. Take a quick look at his last three games.
Houston is so depleted, and if that remains the case in a winnable spot, these guys locked into 35-40 minutes will be tough to get away from – even if the prices don’t feel amazing.
Another guy looking at a nice role potentially is Willy Hernangomez. He has been rock solid lately with 33+ fantasy points in consecutive outings, and Steven Adams could be sidelined again on Monday.
NBA DFS Sleepers for Monday
- Armoni Brooks, PG, Rockets ($4.8k)
- Raul Neto, SG, Wizards ($4.5k)
- Anthony Lamb, SF, Rockets ($4.1k)
- James Johnson, PF, Pelicans ($4.6k)
- Jaxson Hayes, C, Pelicans ($4.5k)
I am not a huge fan of the NBA DFS value picks at first glance. Houston could be a decent source of salary relief, but DJ Augustin randomly played just 18 minutes last time out.
Brooks is $800 more, but Houston is playing him 30+ minutes per game. If that is going to continue, we cannot ignore him in a potential smash spot against the Blazers.
The first value that really makes sense is Neto, given the fact that Bradley Beal won’t be playing tonight.
Neto is not a high usage guy, but he is already getting about 25 minutes per game. With beal getting the night off, he might push for 30+ minutes and end up being a core play.
Lamb could be a great play given his cheap salary, especially if the Rockets remain extremely shorthanded again on Monday. If so, he’d be a great bet to log 30+ minutes, and some may recall his big 22-point effort three games ago.
James Johnson is one of the better NBA DFS sleepers on this slate. He remains a good price despite both Zion Williamson and Brandon Ingram being on the shelf.
Johnson has dealt with some foul trouble in recent games, but on Sunday he logged 30 minutes and chipped in 17 points and eight rebounds. With a clear path to minutes, he gets the green light from me against Memphis.
There could be more value to be had with the Pels, as Jaxson Hayes has a nice role off the bench with New Orleans hurting these days.
His role is considerably more concrete if Steven Adams is out again, but with two key forwards down for the count, he’s relatively in play, regardless.
Monday’s Top NBA DFS Lineup
- PG: Russell Westbrook – Wizards ($11k)
- SG: Raul Neto – Wizards ($4.5k)
- SF: Anthony Lamb – Rockets ($4.1k)
- PF: James Johnson – Pelicans ($4.6k)
- C: Clint Capela – Hawks ($8.4k)
- G: Daquon Jeffries – Rockets ($4.4k)
- F: Davis Bertans – Wizards ($3.7k)
- UTIL: Clint Capela – Hawks ($9.3k)
This is obviously a game stack with Rockets value with James Johnson tossed in to make everything fit together.
It seems lazy, but let’s face it; Pels and Rockets are where you will largely turn to for punts and mid-range options on this slate, and there isn’t a more stackable game that Washington vs. Atlanta.
That needs to be the game of the night for this to work but look at the games Washington has been involved in lately.
Washington runs at the fastest pace in the league, and they’re executing at a high level offensively right now. They also don’t defend well, and they’re facing a highly capable Hawks team that has incentive to play hard.
This game should be insanely explosive. That surely means it’ll be 101-98 and come back to haunt me, but hey, I love Russ, and stacking this game just makes so much sense.
You can lean on my other NBA DFS picks and values to get different, but a full game stack tends to be plenty different. Houston value in general won’t be unowned, but it’s quite possible Jeffries and Lamb are not the first options people turn to.
Check ownership and projections before finalizing anything, but as things stand, I am high on this NBA DFS lineup for Monday night.