5 Bold Predictions for the 2021-22 Big Bash League Season

| October 25, 2021 11:16 am PST

Are you ready for some bold Big Bash predictions?

With the new BBL campaign right around the corner, I thought it would be a good idea to put together my bold predictions for the 2021-22 Big Bash League season.

Australia’s T20 franchise tournament has continuously dished up memorable moments over the years. If recent seasons are anything to go by, then BBL 11 is destined to follow suit.

Will the Sixers secure three straight titles? Can the Renegades avoid a third consecutive wooden spoon? Who will claim the Golden Cap?

I share my answers to all those questions – and a whole load more – as I take you through my bold Big Bash League predictions for the 2021-22 season.

The Stars Finally Win Their First BBL Title

You could go as far as to say that the Melbourne Stars are the unluckiest team in the history of the Big Bash League.

Across the past decade, “Team Green” have qualified for the semi-finals no fewer that eight occasions. On top of that, they have reached three finals.

Yet, having fallen at the last hurdle in 2016, 2019, and 2020, the Stars are STILL without a BBL title.

Although the top cricket betting apps view the Sydney Sixers and the Perth Scorchers as the favorites to win BBL 11, I have a sneaking suspicion that 2022 could be the Stars’ year.

Sydney Sixers4.33
Perth Scorchers5.00
Melbourne Stars6.50
Adelaide Strikers7.50
Brisbane Heat8.00
Hobart Hurricanes8.00
Sydney Thunder8.00
Melbourne Renegades11.00

David Hussey’s men heads into the new season as the bookmakers’ third favorites to win the title, but I’m backing them to (finally) go all the way.

Captained by the legendary Glenn Maxwell, the Stars’ squad is stacked with world-class performers. Throw big-name players like Joe Burns, Marcus Stoinis, and Adam Zampa into the mix, and there is no reason why they can’t triumph.

Melbourne Stars BBL 11 Squad (So Far)

  • Glenn Maxwell (c)
  • Joe Burns
  • Hilton Cartwright
  • Nathan Coulter-Nile
  • Seb Gotch
  • Liam Hatcher
  • Clint Hinchliffe
  • Nik Larkin
  • Tom O’Connell
  • Billy Stanlake
  • Marcus Stoinis
  • Beau Webster
  • Adam Zampa

Although the Stars’ squad already looks strong, they still have three overseas slots to fill. If they can convince Andre Flecther to return – and sign a couple more top overseas players – they could be difficult to stop.

Having reached eight semi-finals in the past ten seasons, I think it’s about time the Stars get their hands on the trophy.

Rashid Khan Will Be the Golden Arm

The Golden Arm is awarded to the leading wicket-taker at the end of every Big Bash campaign. Perth’s Jhye Richardson scooped the prize last season, finishing five wickets clear of Ben Dwarshuis.

It goes without saying that you need to be a top bowler to clinch the award. If you know a thing or two about cricket, you will know that Rashid Khan falls into the “top bowler” category.

At just 23, the iconic Afghan already has countless wickets to his name. He is closing in on 300 T20 games in franchise cricket and has more than 130 international caps under his belt.

Khan debuted for the Adelaide Strikers in the 2017-18 BBL season and has since become a key component of the team. His tricky variations make him one of the most feared bowlers in the game – and he is only going to get better.

As the table below details, Khan has claimed 16+ scalps in each of his four Big Bash campaigns to date.

Season Matches Wickets
2017-18 11 18
2018-19 14 19
2019-20 15 19
2020-21 10 16
Total 50 72

Boasting an eye-catching record of 72 wickets in 50 BBL matches, it is surely only a matter of time before Khan claims the Golden Arm. I mean, he consistently finds himself among the BBL stat leaders.

Let’s not forget that Khan is also one of only five men to have notched a hat-trick in the history of the Big Bash League. He tore the Sixers to shreds in 2020, proving that he can take wickets at a rapid rate.

The Sixers Reach the Final (Again)

Considering the Sixers have featured in five of the ten BBL finals over the years, you may not think this is an overly bold prediction for the 2021-22 Big Bash League season.

But hear me out.

The Sydneysiders won the very first BBL tournament back in 2012 before going on to finish runners-up in two of the next five seasons. Following a two-year drought, they clinched back-to-back titles in 2020 and 2021.

Greg Shippherd’s boys have exhibited a freakish consistency in recent times. Despite not always having the comp’s top players, the Sixers invariably find a way to challenge for the trophy year after year.

Let’s face it – nobody would be shocked if the Sixers secured their third consecutive title in 2022. Yet, given that I predicted the Stars will claim their first triumph next year, I’m backing the Sixers to reach yet another final.

With Moises Henriques as captain and Sean Abbott – the second-highest wicket-taker in BBL history – leading the way, the Sixers are in good hands.

They can also call upon stars such as Jackson Bird, Carlos Brathwaite, Dan Christian, Ben Dwarshuis, Daniel Hughes, Nathan Lyon, Ben Manenti, and Nathan Lyon.

Oh, and Josh Philippe!

Josh Philippe Claims the Golden Cap

There is absolutely no denying that Philippe was one of the best young players in BBL 10.

Not only did the 24-year-old finish last season as the third-highest run-scorer, but he was also named Player of the Tournament for his troubles. Better still, he played a key role in helping the Sixers to seal successive titles.

Having amassed just 35 runs less than last season’s Golden Cap winner, Alex Hales, I’m backing Philippe to get his hands on the coveted prize this time around.

This is what last season’s Golden Cap leaderboard looked like.

Player Team Runs
Alex Hales Sydney Thunder 543
James Vince Sydney Sixers 537
Josh Philippe Sydney Sixers 508
Chris Lynn Brisbane Heat 458
Colin Munro Perth Scorchers 443

Philippe finished the previous campaign with an impressive 31.75 average, along with a lethal strike rate of 149.41. If he can achieve similar numbers during the upcoming season, he will give himself an excellent chance of winning the Golden Cap.

The Wetsern Australian can play just about every shot in the book and can fire the ball to any area of the pitch. I’m seriously excited to see his shine in the coming months.

The Renegades Will Go Further Than You Think

It is no secret that the Melbourne Renegades endured a woeful BBL 10 campaign.

The ‘Gades won just four of their 14 matches last term, suffering a whopping ten defeats along the way. To make matters worse, they ended the season with a sorry net run rate of –1.727.

Aaron Finch’s woes mirrored the team’s struggles. The captain only managed to score 179 runs in 13 innings, averaging 13.77 with a strike rate of 113.29.

Still, I’m confident the Renegades will bounce back in 2021-22. They have more than enough quality to compete with the top teams, so they could go further than you expect.

It is difficult to imagine Finch performing as poorly as he did last season. After all, the 34-year-old is the second-highest run-scorer in Big Bash history – and he also sits fourth on the all-time sixes leaderboard.

Furthermore, the ‘Gades boast several up-and-coming stars. Mackenzie Harvey and Jake Fraser-McGurk are among the best young Australian cricketers right now, so they will likely come to the fore this term.

With guys like Sam Harper, Marcus Harris, Nic Maddinson, Shaun Marsh, Mohammad Nabi, James Pattinson, and Kane Richardson also in their ranks, the Renegades are spoiled for choice in every department.

Finch and co. won the BBL title in 2019 but have since registered back-to-back last-place finishes. I expect them to at least qualify for the playoffs in 2022.

More Big Bash Predictions for the 2021-22 Season

Well, there you have it!

Call me crazy – but I’m backing the Stars to win the BBL 11 title. Team Green have been banging on the door for a decade now, so it’s time for them to step up.

Before I sign off, here are some more predictions for the 2021-22 Big Bash League season.

  • Chris Lynn won’t be the Brisbane Heat’s top run-scorer.
  • The Adelaide Strikers reach the semi-finals.
  • The Hobart Hurricanes finish bottom of the table.
  • Liam Livingstone will hit the most sixes.
  • The record for most sixes in a BBL season will be broken.

If you’re planning to wager on BBL 11, make sure you check out my 2021-22 Big Bash League betting preview. My preview contains BBL odds and analysis of every team for the upcoming campaign.

Of course, your Big Bash League predictions don’t have to be as bold as mine – especially if you’re betting real money on the Big Bash. Nevertheless, I hope you enjoyed my predictions for BBL 11.

Ben Morris

Ben is a sportswriter and tipster who specializes in soccer. Currently based in the UK, he has traveled all around the world watching – and betting on – his beloved sport.

Alongside his regular soccer content, Ben publishes blogs and picks for cricket, Formula 1, Aussie rules, darts, and various other sports.

Ben is a diehard fan of Nottingham Forest and England, so he hasn’t had much to cheer about in recent years!

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