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Early Betting Odds and Analysis for the 2023 NBA Finals

| June 21, 2022 8:16 am PDT
2023 NBA Finals logo, NBA players shooting basketball

The 2022 NBA Finals are officially in the books, and a familiar face is atop in the basketball world. The Golden State Warriors defeated the Boston Celtics to claim their fourth championship in eight years.

Golden State will enjoy their championship, but they’ll soon join the other 29 teams and shift their focus to the 2022-23 season. We’re already looking ahead to the 2023 NBA Finals odds.

Can the Warriors add to their dynasty, or will we see a new NBA Finals winner? Let’s check out the NBA Finals betting odds.

Early 2023 NBA Finals Odds

Seeing the Golden State Warriors open as the 2023 NBA Finals favorite shouldn’t surprise anyone. They were a top contender throughout the season and scored another championship.

The Brooklyn Nets and Los Angeles Clippers will be interesting to watch. Both teams dealt with significant injuries but should be good for next season. Speaking of injuries, the Denver Nuggets should have Jamal Murray and Michael Porter Jr. in the lineup.

Add in two-time MVP Nikola Jokic, and their odds to win the NBA Finals look intriguing.

There is a cluster of teams at (+1500), but what about the team at the bottom? The Los Angeles Lakers were a massive disappointment last season, but LeBron James and Anthony Davis are ready for redemption. Will Darvin Ham lead this team to the top of the Western Conference?

Head over to Bovada for the complete list of NBA Finals series odds.

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Can the Golden State Warriors Repeat as Champions?

It looked like the Golden State Warriors dynasty was over following the 2019 NBA Finals. Kevin Durant and Klay Thompson suffered significant injuries, leaving Durant to sign with the Brooklyn Nets.

They missed the playoffs in back-to-back seasons, but here we are. Golden State is back on top, with Stephen Curry winning his first Finals MVP.

The core remains the same for Golden State, but their supporting cast features Andrew Wiggins and Jordan Poole. The early NBA Finals odds have them as the favorite because of those players. What’s crazy about this team is there’s room for improvement.

We should see James Wiseman, Jonathan Kuminga, and Moses Moody take on a bigger role next season.

Wiseman hasn’t played since April 2021 after dealing with a knee injury. He’ll likely suit up for the Summer League as he aims to return for the 2022-23 season. We saw flashes of potential from Kuminga and Moody in their rookie season.

Golden State has an extensive list of free agents, with Kevon Looney and Gary Payton II headlining the list. It’d be surprising if Payton didn’t return, but Looney has suitors. They may let him walk if Wiseman is ready to become a starter.

Ultimately, we know the Warriors’ 2023 NBA Finals odds revolve around Curry. Another great season from him will have Golden State back at the top of the Western Conference.

It’s hard to believe the Warriors dynasty started as one of the most surprising NBA Finals winners. If you’re curious on other longshot winners are, why not view the link below.

6 Surprising NBA Finals Winners

Among the Big Four sports, I’d say the NBA is the “easiest” to have a surprise winner. Because there are less players on the court, it typically takes one or two starts to completely turn around your team. While we have seen surprise...

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Will the Boston Celtics Make it Back to the Finals?

Jayson Tatum

It’s not often you see a team like the Boston Celtics make the NBA Finals. They were one of the best teams in the second half of the season. It didn’t look like they were going anywhere after sitting 25-25 on January 28.

They closed the season 26-6 before defeating the Brooklyn Nets, Milwaukee Bucks, and Miami Heat on their way to the NBA Finals. It would’ve been nice to know where the best place to bet on NBA games was before that stretch.

Boston made it to the NBA Finals behind a stellar defense. They looked impressive in the NBA Finals, but their offense failed to score 100 points in the final three games. There was much discussion surrounding the struggles of Jayson Tatum.

  • 21.5 points
  • 36.2 field goal percentage

He closed the NBA Finals with a 13-point performance. We saw him step up in closeout games against the Bucks and Heat, so this was a massive disappointment.

Honestly, I don’t think the Celtics need to swing for the fences to return to the NBA Finals. They have a pair of superstars and two great defenders. Their betting odds for the NBA Finals will revolve around a better offensive performance from Tatum.

And I wouldn’t panic if I was a Boston fan. We’re talking about a 24-year-old player. He has plenty of time to improve, and this experience will help him.

It’ll be a competitive Eastern Conference, but Boston has earned the right to open as the favorite.

Top 2023 NBA Finals Contenders

The Golden State Warriors and Cleveland Cavaliers may have played in four straight NBA Finals, but that’s uncommon.

Let’s discuss which teams have the best chance to compete with the Boston Celtics and Golden State.

Phoenix Suns (+1000)

Phoenix Suns logo

The Phoenix Suns were the team to beat last season. Phoenix had an early 18-game win streak and never looked back. They held the best record in the NBA with a franchise record of 64 wins.

It didn’t look like anyone could contend with the Suns, but they scuffled in the playoffs. They lost back-to-back games to the Dallas Mavericks by a combined 60 points. Can they replicate that season?

There’s a strong possibility Phoenix will part ways with Deandre Ayton. The 2018 No. 1 overall pick averaged 16.3 points and 10.5 rebounds in four seasons, but he’ll likely play elsewhere next season.

It doesn’t help their odds for the 2023 NBA Finals, but we saw JaVale McGee and Bismack Biyombo step up in his absence. Check out their best games of the season.

  • JaVale McGee: 21 points and 15 rebounds
  • Bismack Biyombo: 21 points and 13 rebounds

They’re both free agents, so Phoenix needs to add a center. Chris Paul’s playstyle is why the Suns don’t need a star big man. He has been making his teammates better for years.

Paul and Devin Booker will lead the Suns but don’t sleep on their supporting cast. Mikal Bridges, Cameron Johnson, Jae Crowder, and Cameron Payne can play a significant role in a championship team.

Everyone will wonder how they replace Ayton, but I don’t think it matters for their NBA Finals betting odds. They’ll be in contention as long as Paul and Booker remain healthy.

Philadelphia 76ers (+1500)

The Philadelphia 76ers had an interesting season. The first half revolved around the Ben Simmons saga. Philadelphia finally traded Simmons, sending him to the Brooklyn Nets for James Harden.

Most people expected Harden to put the 76ers over the top. Pairing him with Joel Embiid should’ve moved the 76ers to the top of the Eastern Conference. We didn’t see that, as they lost to the Miami Heat in the Conference Semifinals.

For the second straight offseason, the 76ers have question marks surrounding one of their star players. Harden’s contract situation will be a key storyline over the next few weeks. However, it sounds like both sides have already come to an agreement.

There were questions about whether the 76ers would want to bring Harden back. His scoring numbers were down in 21 games with Philadelphia, but it sounds like they’ll run it back.

I expect a better version of Harden as he has an entire offseason to gel with his 76ers teammates. His presence gives the 76ers four-star players in their starting lineup. How many teams can make that claim?

Embiid will be the driving force behind Philadelphia’s odds of winning the NBA Finals. He could’ve easily won MVP last season after averaging 30.6 points and 11.7 rebounds.

Philadelphia is on the cusp of emerging from the Eastern Conference. Embiid, Harden, and Tyrese Maxey have the potential to take this team to the NBA Finals. Can they live up to the hype?

Best NBA Finals Sleepers to Monitor or 2023

The last three losers in the NBA Finals had (+3000) odds or worse in the preseason. Which teams can close the deal and become the biggest longshot winner in 35 years?

Let’s check out my favorite sleepers.

New Orleans Pelicans (+4000)

The New Orleans Pelicans entered the season looking to make their first playoff appearance since 2018. The 2021-22 season had a disastrous start as the Pelicans lost 16 of their first 19 games.

However, they weathered the storm to remain in playoff contention. They qualified for the play-in tournament, defeating the Los Angeles Clippers to make the first round. They gave the Phoenix Suns a good run, losing in six games.

New Orleans took a big step forward last season. They accomplished that without Zion Williamson, who missed the season with a foot injury. His return gives the Pelicans a scary lineup for the 2022-23 season.

New Orleans Pelicans logo
  • CJ McCollum
  • Brandon Ingram
  • Herbert Jones
  • Zion Williamson
  • Jonas Valanciunas

After joining the Pelicans at the trade deadline, CJ McCollum was a significant contributor. He averaged 24.3 points on 39.4 percent three-point shooting. He and Brandon Ingram were quietly one of the best duos in the Western Conference.

It’s easy to forget Williamson was a dominant player in his second season. He averaged 27.0 points and 7.2 rebounds. He, McCollum, and Ingram will be a scary trio. They should instill fear in their opponents.

The NBA Finals series betting odds have the Pelicans as the best team with odds of (+2100) or worse. That shouldn’t last long with this roster. They have the firepower to compete for a top-five spot in the Western Conference.

New Orleans reminds me of the 2020-21 Suns. Most of the American betting sites had Phoenix at (+4000) odds through the season.

Washington Wizards (+30000)

I had to include one longshot for my 2023 NBA Finals sleepers. It’s tough to pick from the group near the bottom, but the Washington Wizards have the potential to surprise people in the Eastern Conference.

Washington went through a significant transformation in the last offseason. They hired Wes Unseld Jr. as head coach and dealt Russell Westbrook to the Los Angeles Lakers. The Wizards added Kristaps Porzingis at the 2022 trade deadline.

They missed the playoffs after Bradley Beal suffered a season-ending wrist injury. Speaking of Beal, his free-agent status will impact the early 2023 NBA Finals odds. Beal has reportedly decided if he’ll remain with the Wizards.

The Wizards have a void at point guard, but they’ve been interested in a few big-name players.

There are also talks that Washington could move up in the NBA draft to select Jaden Ivey. Beal, Porzingis, Kyle Kuzma, and a potential star point guard would make the Wizards NBA Finals series odds intriguing.

I’m operating under the assumption that Beal will return to Washington. If not, I’d avoid the Wizards.

A big trade will likely cost them a combination of Rui Hachimura, Deni Advija, and Kentavious Caldwell-Pope. However, they have the depth to withstand the loss. They need a star player to keep Beal in town.

We’ll unlikely see Washington make an NBA Finals run, but the potential is enough to justify a wager. Beal, Porzingis, and a star-caliber point guard should be enough to move the Wizards into playoff contention.

Early Prediction for the NBA Finals in 2023

NBA logo

We’re less than a week removed from the end of the 2022 NBA Finals. The 2023 NBA Finals odds will change as we move through the draft and free agency.

I wouldn’t blame you if you didn’t have a good read on the 2023 NBA Finals.

The Golden State Warriors will be tough to beat, but I’m going with the Phoenix Suns. Phoenix was the team to beat until a collapse in the Conference Semifinals. They’ll overcome the potential loss of Deandre Ayton to win their first NBA Finals.

Do you have a 2023 NBA Finals prediction? Please visit the best NBA betting apps to place your wager. Best NBA Betting Apps
Nicholas Sterling
Nicholas Sterling

Nicholas has been a Sports Writer with GamblingSites.com since May 2021. He has a rich sports background, writing about NASCAR, NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, Golf, etc. Nick is always ready for a new challenge.

He enjoys rooting on D.C. sports teams, including the Commanders, Wizards, and Capitals.

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