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Early Odds and Analysis for the 2022 Tour de France

| June 16, 2022 10:48 am PDT
Tour de France Odds

The 109th edition of the Tour de France starts on the first day of July in Copenhagen. Twenty-three days later, we’ll find out who will become the new champion. July 24 is when the riders will cycle across the finish line in Paris, but who will be the first to do so?

The 2022 Tour de France odds are already up, so if you think you know the answer, nothing is stopping you from betting on the top cycling betting sites.

If you still don’t have a Tour de France favorite, it’s time to read my early preview of the race. This is where I’ll dissect the 2022 Tour de France betting odds, analyze the top candidates for the yellow jersey, and share some predictions.

Latest 2022 Tour de France Odds

The 2022 Tour de France odds listed above are courtesy of BetUS. If you’re wondering why I went with this betting site, there are several reasons.

First, this is a reputable US-friendly site with a fantastic welcome bonus for new customers. If you still don’t have a BetUS account, create one now and get a 100% bonus of up to $2,500.

Another reason why I turned to BetUS for early 2022 Tour de France odds is because this site is great for cycling betting.

As you can see for yourself, the prices are lucrative even if you’re going to back the top favorite. Speaking of the devil, Tadej Pogačar is the #1 betting favorite, regardless of which sportsbook you choose.

Just behind Pogačar is his fellow Slovenian Primož Roglič, with the 2022 Tour de France betting odds of +275. The only other rider whose odds come in the form of a three-figure number is Jonas Vingegaard. His Tour de France odds currently stand at +600.

Head on over to BetUS now to place your bets before the race.

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Why Is Tadej Pogačar Favored to Win the 2022 Tour de France?

At BetUS, Tadej Pogačar’s 2022 Tour de France odds are -175, making him an odds-on favorite to win the race. It’s the same story, whichever sportsbook you check for odds. This shows that bookmakers have a consensus that Pogačar will likely win the race.

If you’re wondering what’s the reason behind that, here’s the answer – Pogačar is the winner of the two previous editions of the Tour de France.

Plus, he’s currently the highest-ranked pro cyclist in the world, who’s been sitting at the throne of the UCI Rankings for more than 48 weeks.

Why Might Tadej Pogačar be a Bad Bet?

Tadej Pogačar

History teaches us that favorites don’t always win the yellow jersey in Grand Tours. In fact, in 2020 – before winning his first Tour de France – Pogačar was a huge underdog with odds longer than +25000.

Last year, bookmakers didn’t go wrong by making him the favorite, but in 2022, he might be a bad bet. The thing is that this July, Pogačar is not going to be the hunter but the hunted. Everyone knows that to win the 2022 Tour de France, they need to take Pogačar down.

Sure, his teammates from the UAE Team Emirates will do everything to protect him, but you can be sure that all the other teams will be working hard to throw him off his throne.

Top Challenger to Win the 2022 Tour de France

In 2022, Tadej Pogačar is the best cyclist in the world. However, just a few years ago, that was the case with his compatriot Primož Roglič.

In fact, Roglič is the record-holder for the most time spent as the no.1 in the UCI Rankings with 75 weeks.

Bookmakers know this, which is why they’re giving +275 on Roglič winning the race. His Tour de France odds to win aren’t too long, but some would argue (me included) that they should be even shorter.

Not only is he one of the greatest athletes in the history of the sport, but he also has a fantastic bunch to support him. What I’m talking about are his colleagues from Team Jumbo-Visma.

“Definitely at the end; I don’t care who is winning or taking it. It’s a team sport. We try to do the best with what we have.”Roglič regarding Jumbo-Visma’s team power

Speaking of Jumbo-Visma, Roglič isn’t this team’s only superstar. In fact, its roster is packed with amazing riders, including two strong Tour de France contenders, Jonas Vingegaard and Wout Van Aert.

Other Contenders for the 2022 Tour de France

  • Jonas Vingegaard
  • Wout Van Aert
  • Daniel Martinez
  • Geraint Thomas
Tour de France cyclist

Although he’s still without a single Grand Tour triumph, Jonas Vingegaard sure has great potential. In the pro cycling universe, he is considered a worthy successor to his teammate Roglič. You can say the same for another Jumbo-Visma rider, Wout van Aert.

He also needs to be considered a potential candidate for the yellow jersey, although Van Aert’s odds to win the 2022 Tour de France are way longer than those of Vingegaard.

Another contender to win the race in July is Daniel Martinez, who’s supposed to lead the INEOS Grenadiers armada in France in the absence of Egan Bernal. If not Martinez, we could see Geraint Thomas have a swan song at Tour de France.

Now a 36-year-old, the Welshman is probably dreaming of adding another Grand Tour title to his portfolio four years after winning his only Maillot Jaune.

Tour de France Sleepers and Longshots to Win in 2022

Are there any Tour de France longshots that are worth backing? I think there might be a couple of them. The three names that come straight to mind are Richard Carapaz, Thibaut Pinot, and Chris Froome.

Keep in mind that I don’t claim any of the following guys will win the race, but their Tour de France odds are so attractive that they look like they’re worth a bet.

Richard Carapaz (+5000)

With the odds of +5000, Richard Carapaz is among the best Tour de France value picks. This is one of only a few cyclists who can brag about a podium finish at each of the three Grand Tours. He even won one – the 2019 Giro d’Italia.

Regarding his Tour de France performances, Carapaz finished third last year in what was his only second appearance in this event. Knowing all this, the Ecuadorian rider sure looks like an attractive betting option.

I think his Tour de France odds need to be shorter than +5000, although I understand why bookmakers see him as an underdog. It’s because Carapaz has already participated in one Grand Tour this year. He competed at the Giro in May, finishing the race in second place.

Riding for three weeks across challenging terrain has certainly left him exhausted; the question is will he be at his top fitness level in France.

Chris Froome (+10000)

If you put a dollar on Chris Froome to win the 2022 Tour de France, you can win yourself a hundred bucks. Of course, for that to happen, the 37-year-old Brit has to win the July race.

One thing going in his favor is that he’s already done it. In fact, he won the French Grand Tour on four occasions. What’s not going in his favor is that he’s been struggling with injuries for several years now.

It all started with a horrific crash in 2019 during the Tour du Dauphine. 

Fast-forward to 2022; he entered the same race to prepare for the Tour de France. Unfortunately, an unspecified illness forced him to quit the race, but he promised he would come back for the Tour de France.

Thibaut Pinot (+10000)

The last but not the least in my list of top Tour de France sleepers is Thibaut Pinot. The Frenchman loves competing in the Tour de France, an event in which he’s already won a couple of accolades.

In 2014, he won the young rider classification while finishing third in the general classification. He also has three stage wins in this race, although the last time he won one was three years ago.

More recently, we saw him win the sprints at the 2022 Tour de Alps, as well as one stage in the same race. Should we expect him to do well at the Tour de France?

Although I think it would take a miracle for him to win the general classification, I do think he’s one of the top candidates for the polka dot jersey (mountains).

Predicting Who Will Win the Tour de France in 2022

Even though odds favor Tadej Pogačar, you never know with Tour de France betting sites. Sure, he is the best cyclist in the universe in 2022, but that is why his opponents will do all they can to stop him from winning his third straight Maillot Jaune.

Tour de France logo
Therefore my 2022 Tour de France prediction is not Pogačar but his compatriot Primož Roglič. It’s because he’s got the right motivation to win the race.

As of June 2022, he’s still without a Tour de France triumph, with his best finish being the #2 place two years ago. In 2021, he was one of the Tour de France favorites, but he suffered a crash in the peloton, which made him abandon the race.

Jonas Vingegaard, who stepped in as Roglič’s replacement as Jumbo-Visma’s leader, finished the race in second place in the general classification. This fact makes me think Roglič would’ve done even better if it wasn’t for the crash.

He can’t change what happened last year, but he can do his best in this year’s race. I think he will, and that should be enough to bring the yellow jersey his way.

Are you curious who the best Tour de France winners are? Check out our blog to see if you guessed right below.

Ranking the Best Tour de France Winners in History

First organized in 1903 as a publicity stunt by the French newspaper L’Auto, the Tour de France has grown to become one of the world’s biggest annual sporting events. Millions of cycling fans line the route every year to watch 200+ elite riders...

Read More
Zarko Naric
Zarko Naric

Zarko Naric – the World's Greatest Sportswriter, according to his grandma.

Zarko started writing for GamblingSites.com in 2019, covering sports like soccer, tennis, and basketball,  as well as some more niche sports like cycling, for example.

In addition to writing news, picks, and blog pieces focused on sports, Zarko’s also been covering politics, TV/music contests, and so on.

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