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Full Betting Preview for the 2022 Tour de France
The second Grand Tour of the year is just around the corner, so now seems like a perfect time for you to check out our 2022 Tour de France betting guide.
The 109th edition of the race starts on Friday, July 1. Twenty-three days later, the riders will pass the finish line at Champs-Élysées in Paris. A total of 198 riders are expected to participate in the race, but only one of them will get ahold of the yellow jersey, a.k.a. Maillot Jaune, on Sunday, July 24.
The winner of the previous two editions – Tadej Pogačar – is considered the Tour de France betting favorite. In this post, I’m going to explain why the Slovenian rider is favored to win and why other Tour de France contenders mustn’t be underestimated.
I will also discuss some sleepers and longshots and share my top betting pick with you. But first things first – let’s start this 2022 Tour de France betting preview by discussing the best cycling sportsbooks.
Where to Bet on the 2022 Tour de France
Cycling might not be the most popular sport among bettors, but most online sportsbooks cover the Tour de France. This shouldn’t surprise you as this is one of the most popular sports events in the world.
Even though most sportsbooks offer Tour de France odds, it doesn’t mean you should just pick one by random. On the contrary, you need to ensure that the sportsbook you’re using is 100% legit, with the best possible odds. Other factors you need to consider include payment methods, customer support, bonuses, etc.
The big question is, how can you find one such betting site? Well, there are two ways to do it.
The first one is to do your research, which may take hours of your time. The second, much more convenient way is to trust us. Our in-house experts have already picked out the best Tour de France betting sites, each of which fulfills the previously mentioned criteria.
Latest 2022 Tour de France Odds
The Tour de France odds you see here are courtesy of Bovada, which might be the best sportsbook for cycling betting. There are several reasons for that, starting with the prices being very lucrative, even those on the top three favorites.
As you can see in the list above, the reigning Tour de France champion Tadej Pogačar is the odds-on favorite to win the 2022 race. Pogačar is the #1 favorite to triumph, followed by his fellow Slovenian Primož Roglič.
In addition to those two, there’s just one more rider whose odds come in the form of a three-figure number. The man in question is Jonas Vingegaard.
If you want to get in on these odds before the race, why not head on over to Bovada right now.
Should You Back Tadej Pogačar to Win?
The fact that Tadej Pogačar is sitting in the #1 position in the UCI World Rankings makes him the favorite in practically every race. What makes his Tour de France odds as short as -140 is that he just loves this race.
Now a 23-year-old, Pogačar made his Tour de France debut in 2020. Despite entering the race as one of the underdogs, he ended up passing the finish line before anyone else. Not only did he win the yellow jersey, but he also won the Mountains classification and the young rider classification.
Sounds impressive, but what happened the following year is even more awesome. In the 2021 race, Pogačar did literally the same, winning all three classifications.
Further, only a couple of days after the Tour de France, he went to Japan to participate in the Tokyo Olympics. That’s where he won bronze, becoming the first rider to win the Tour de France Maillot Jaune and an Olympic medal in the same year.
Bookmakers know this, which is why they’re giving such short odds on Pogačar. However, other riders are also aware of his talents, which is why you can be sure they’ll be doing all they can to take him off the throne.
So, if Pogačar fails to win his third straight Tour de France, who will get to the top spot on the podium?
Top 2022 Tour de France Challengers
Bookies seem to agree that Pogačar is the rider who will win the 2022 Tour de France. However, history teaches us that they can go wrong with their predictions. One of the best examples is the 2020 race in which Pogačar won despite being an underdog with odds greater than +10000.
I don’t expect a huge underdog to win this time, but I do feel some riders could upset the odds. There’s plenty of talent on the entry list, with several names standing out. In addition to Pogačar, another two riders must be taken seriously – Primož Roglič and Jonas Vingegaard.
Just a few years ago, Roglič was the absolute ruler of the cycling universe who used to hold the #1 position in the UCI Rankings for a record 75 weeks. Pogačar has taken that spot away from him, but Roglič remains one of the best riders of his generation.
Now a 32-year-old, Roglič is having a fantastic season in 2022, already winning two major races – Paris–Nice and Critérium du Dauphiné, the latter of which is seen as a stage rehearsal for the Tour de France.
"It is a race that I haven’t won yet. I would love to win it!" 💛— Eurosport (@eurosport) June 13, 2022
🇸🇮 Primoz Roglic is aiming to beat two-time winner and fellow Slovenian Tadej Pogacar at the Tour de France next month 🇫🇷
Speaking of which, Roglič still doesn’t have a Tour de France win in his portfolio. He did, however, finish on the podium in 2020, when he finished 59 seconds after Pogačar.
A year later, Roglič entered the race as one of the top favorites but ended up quitting the race after a crash. His Jumbo-Visma colleague took over the team leader role and finished in the #2 position, making me think Roglič would’ve done even better if it weren’t for the accident.
Priced at +400, Jonas Vingegaard is one of only three cyclists with the odds of under +1000. The man who finished second in the last year’s edition of the Tour de France has already gotten to the podium twice this year in major races.
He sure has the skillset and the physique to do the same at the 2022 French Grand Tour, although it’s a big question whether he can actually win it.
🇩🇰 Jonas Vingegaard after the demonstration in #Dauphiné 🇫🇷:— Domestique (@Domestique___) June 13, 2022
“I do think I have a good chance to win #TDF2022. I started to belief in it when I dropped Pogacar on the Ventoux. I’ve developped since then. A lot can happen @LeTour. I’ll do my best.”
(Source: Cyclingnews) pic.twitter.com/rcYg0G0YNV
The thing is that Vingegaard will probably serve as a “domestique” to Roglič. His role in the 2022 Tour de France will probably be to support the team leader rather than to compete for the yellow jersey.
Of course, if Roglič falls or Jumbo-Visma decides to change their roles, Vingegaard could quickly become the new Tour de France champ.
Finding Value in the 2022 Tour de France Bets
You don’t have to be clumsy to fall off your bike; it happens even to the best riders on the planet.
Last year, Roglič crashed his bicycle several times at the Tour de France before finally quitting the race. Sometimes, it’s not even the riders’ fault. Just think of the incident where a fan caused a group of riders to crash after hitting a sign she was holding.
Such accidents can render favorites incapable of continuing the race. However, even some tiny problems can ruin their chances. It only takes a small mistake for the race leader to lose his position in the pack.
That said, I don’t think putting too much money on the main favorites is smart. Instead, taking a shot on a sleeper bet seems much better. With these sorts of bets, you stand a chance to win huge money without risking much.
Sleeper Bets (Sometimes) Pay Off in the Tour de France
The betting favorite won the yellow jersey only once in the previous three editions of the Tour de France. It happened last year when the defending champ Pogačar won the race, with the pre-event odds of +150. In his first Tour de France triumph, Pogačar’s odds were longer than +10000 at some sportsbooks.
Back in 2019, the eventual winner of the yellow shirt, Egan Bernal, was seen as a +1200 underdog when the early odds were released. Knowing all this, it’s clear that there’s an upside in betting on the 2022 Tour de France underdogs.
The big question is, which Tour de France sleepers should you trust this year?
Geraint Thomas – My #1 Sleeper Bet
My Tour de France 2022 prediction is that legendary British cyclist Geraint Thomas will do well. By “well,” I mean finish on the podium or even win the yellow jersey.
Although he’s already 36, the winner of the 2018 race has no intention of backing down anytime soon. The proof is that he was the one to win the Tour de Suisse in June despite coming to Switzerland as a huge underdog.
Geraint Thomas becomes the first ever British winner of the Tour de Suisse after finishing second in the individual time trial 🚴 pic.twitter.com/6z2PjYPkb5— BBC Sport Wales (@BBCSportWales) June 19, 2022
He’s got the experience and is in top shape at the moment. On top of everything, he will probably be the team leader of Ineos Grenadiers in the absence of Egan Bernal, the winner of the 2019 Tour de France.
With the Columbian rider set to miss the remainder of the season due to an injury, the entire Ineos Grenadiers team will probably work hard to help Thomas triumph.
Tour de France Betting Strategy for 2022
If you want to win big money from cycling betting, you have two options before you. The first one is to wager a big sum on one of the favorites and hope they don’t mess anything up. The other option is to put a small bet on a huge underdog and pray for a miracle.
So, which cycling betting strategy should you use for Grand Tours, such as the one taking place in France this summer?
Well, I believe you should decide on your Tour de France betting strategy based on a couple of key factors, including the rider’s recent form and his previous performances in France. On top of everything, you should also consider the team he’s riding for.
No Rider is an Island
Eight riders are on each team, one of which is the team’s leading contender for the yellow jersey. That’s the rider who will be supported by his teammates to give his best in crucial moments.
With good teammates to support him, even a huge underdog can end up winning. So, which rider has the best teammates? I’d say it’s Primož Roglič, whose Jumbo-Visma pack is the best cycling team on the planet.
Other teams worth mentioning include Geraint Thomas’ Ineos Grenadiers, Tadej Pogačar’s UEA Team Emirates, and so on.
Recent Form Plays a Huge Role
Races like Tour de Suisse and Critérium du Dauphiné are usually run just a couple of weeks before the start of the Tour de France. Hence, these events are used by riders as a way to prepare for the French Grand Tour.
That said, the cyclists who win those races usually do well in the Tour de France. This is why I expect a lot from Primož Roglič (the 2022 Critérium du Dauphiné winner) and Geraint Thomas (the winner of the 2022 Tour de Suisse race).
Some Riders Just Love This Race (Others Don’t)
The Tour de France is one of the three Grand Tours, which makes it one of the key events on the pro cycling calendar. Winning the race means winning the respect of fellow cyclists and getting ahold of the $600,000 prize.
This explains why the Tour de France is their #1 focus for some riders. So, which riders are those? The best example is Pogačar, the winner of the two previous editions of the event.
Prediction for the Tour de France in 2022
Tadej Pogačar, Primož Roglič, and Geraint Thomas – my prediction is that we’ll see these three guys on the podium. But in which order?
Even though the oddsmakers favor Pogačar, I think it’s time for Roglič to win his first yellow jersey in Tour de France. Not only is he one of the best riders of the 21st century, but there’s another incentive to back him in the 2022 race – his odds are pretty good.
Priced at +325 at most of the world’s top sports betting sites, Roglič’s victory can bring you a lot of money.