Early Betting Odds for the 2022-23 German Bundesliga

By Ben Morris in Soccer
| July 1, 2022 7:43 am PDT
2022-23 Bundesliga Betting Preview, German flags for different teams

With the Qatar World Cup taking place in November and December this year (crazy, I know!), many European soccer leagues are set to return early for the 2022-23 season.

Kicking off on August 5, the German Bundesliga will be the first major European league to get the ball rolling. So, with just over a month until the campaign begins, now is the time for bettors to assess the 2022-23 Bundesliga odds.

If you already know a thing or two about German soccer, you won’t be surprised to learn that all the top Bundesliga betting sites heavily favor Bayern Munich to lift the trophy next year. I mean, the Bavarians have won each of the last ten titles.

But all good things must come to an end, right? With teams like Borussia Dortmund, RB Leipzig, and Bayer Leverkusen waiting in the wings, could this finally be the season when Bayern’s dominance ends?

In this 2022-23 Bundesliga betting preview, I examine the odds before analyzing all the top contenders and possible sleepers. Keep reading to discover my Bundesliga predictions for 2022-23.

Opening 2022-23 Bundesliga Odds

As I already mentioned, Bayern Munich (-500) is the out-and-out favorite to win the 2022-23 Bundesliga title. The defending champions have dominated German soccer over the years – and the Bundesliga betting odds reflect that.

According to the German Bundesliga odds at BetOnline, Borussia Dortmund (+800), RB Leipzig (+1200), and Bayer Leverkusen (+1600) are the only other realistic contenders for the trophy.

Dortmund last won the title in 2011-12 and has since claimed the runner-up spot on six occasions. Leipzig and Leverkusen have never secured the silverware, although Leipzig finished second in 2020-21.

BetOnline views Borussia Monchengladbach (+8000), VfL Wolfsburg (+10000), and Eintracht Frankfurt (+10000) as hopeful outsiders. The remaining 11 teams are priced between +20000 and +75000, highlighting the difficulty of the league.

Now that we’re up to speed on the 2022-23 Bundesliga odds, it’s time to look back at the previous campaign.

What Happened During the 2021-22 Bundesliga Season?

Bayern secured yet another Bundesliga crown last season, finishing eight points clear of second-place Dortmund. Julian Nagelsmann’s boys lost just five of their 34 games, suffering three defeats fewer than Leverkusen.

The champions netted 97 goals (2.85 goals per game) while conceding 37 (1.08 goals per game). Boasting the best offensive record AND the best defensive record, they registered an outrageous goal difference of +60.

2021-22 BUNDESLIGA TABLE (TOP 6)
Club Wins Draws Losses Goal Difference Points
Bayern Munich (c) 24 5 5 +60 77
Borussia Dortmund 22 3 9 +33 69
Bayer Leverkusen 19 7 8 +33 64
RB Leipzig 17 7 10 +35 58
Union Berlin 16 9 9 +6 57
SC Freiburg 15 10 9 +12 55

Eight points may seem like a sizeable gap between first and second, but there is hope for the chasing pack in 2022-23. Bayern finished 13 points ahead of Dortmund in 2019-20 before finishing 13 points ahead of Leipzig in 2020-21.

Trends suggest that the gulf between Bayern and the rest of the league is narrowing. Still, the odds for the 2022-23 German Bundesliga title underline the Bavarians’ dominance.

Why Is Bayern Munich the Bookies’ Overwhelming Favorite?

It is no surprise that all the best soccer betting sites view Bayern as the clear frontrunner. After all, “Die Roten” has been the strongest team in the league over the past decade – and many decades before!

Not only have the Bavarians won each of the last ten Bundesliga titles, but they have also won 18 of the previous 24. That tells you everything you need to know about their control over German soccer.

RECENT BUNDESLIGA CHAMPIONS (PAST 10 SEASONS)
Season Champion Runner-Up
2012-13 Bayern Munich Borussia Dortmund
2013-14 Bayern Munich Borussia Dortmund
2014-15 Bayern Munich VfL Wolfsburg
2015-16 Bayern Munich Borussia Dortmund
2016-17 Bayern Munich RB Leipzig
2017-18 Bayern Munich Schalke 04
2018-19 Bayern Munich Borussia Dortmund
2019-20 Bayern Munich Borussia Dortmund
2020-21 Bayern Munich RB Leipzig
2021-22 Bayern Munich Borussia Dortmund

One man who has played a key role in Bayern’s commanding era is Robert Lewandowski. However, the star striker has confirmed that he wants to leave the club. It is difficult to predict how the team will fare without its talisman leading the line.

Lewandowski has won seven of the past nine Bundesliga Golden Boots, including each of the previous five. Having netted a ludicrous 344 goals in 375 appearances for the club, his prowess will be sorely missed.

Of course, Bayern still boasts a frightening array of talent. With experienced players such as Manuel Neuer and Thomas Muller shepherding young stars like Alphonso Davies and Jamal Musiala, the future is bright at the Allianz Arena. The arrival of Sadio Mane from Liverpool is huge, too.

Even so, I can see Nagelsmann’s side struggling to adapt to life without Lewandowski. This will fill Dortmund, Leipzig, and Leverkusen with plenty of hope.

The Chasing Pack for 2022-23 – Dortmund, Leipzig, & Leverkusen

If the early Bundesliga betting odds are anything to go by, three teams are expected to challenge Bayern in 2022-23. Can Dortmund, Leipzig, or Leverkusen end Bayern’s hegemony? I assess their chances below.

Borussia Dortmund (+800)

There is no denying that Borussia Dortmund is the second-best team in Germany. Only Bayern and FC Nurnberg have won more top-flight titles over the years – and Nurnberg’s last triumph came all the way back in 1967-68!

Dortmund claimed three titles in eight seasons between 1994-95 and 2001-02 before securing back-to-back crowns in 2010-11 and 2011-12. Having recorded six second-place finishes since then, no team has grabbed the runner-up spot more times than BVB.

MOST SUCCESSFUL CLUBS IN BUNDESLIGA HISTORY
Club Titles Runner-Up
Bayern Munich 32 10
FC Nurnberg 9 3
Borussia Dortmund 8 10
Schalke 04 7 10
Hamburger SV 6 8
VfB Stuttgart 5 4
Borussia Monchengladbach 5 2

Like Bayern, the Black & Yellows will be without their main goal-getter in 2022-23 following Erling Haaland’s move to Manchester City. Haaland netted 83 goals in 89 games for Dortmund before recently joining the Premier League champions for £54 million.

BVB has already acquired Haaland’s replacement, with Karim Adeyemi arriving from RB Salzburg. The free signing of Bayern center-back Niklas Sule will also strengthen the team defensively.

The perennial underachievers finished 13 points behind Bayern in 2019-20 before closing the gap to eight points last season. Can they outperform the Bavarian winning machine in 2022-23?

RB Leipzig (+1200)

Leipzig has registered four top-three berths across the past six seasons, including runner-up finishes in 2016-17 and 2020-21. Not bad for a club that gained promotion to the Bundesliga in 2015-16, right?

The Red Bulls made an indifferent start to the previous campaign, recording five wins, three draws, and six losses across their first 14 games. But everything changed when Domenico Tedesco replaced head coach Jesse Marsch in December.

Leipzig suffered just four defeats in 20 league clashes under Tedesco, finishing the season on a high note. The Saxony outfit even enjoyed a run of ten victories in 13 games between January and April, proving they can rack up extended winning streaks.

Although the Red Bulls have yet to bring in a marquee transfer this summer, they have managed to persuade Christopher Nkunku to extend his contract. In my eyes, this is the best piece of business that they could have hoped for.

Nkunku bagged 35 goals and 19 assists across all competitions last season, including 20 goals and 14 assists in the Bundesliga. The Frenchman has the potential to fire Leipzig to the title.

Bayer Leverkusen (+1600)

Like Leipzig, Bayer Leverkusen ended the previous campaign in eye-catching form. Not only did they win each of their last four games, but they also won 11 of their final 16.

Patrik Schick was Leverkusen’s danger man last season, netting 24 goals in 27 league games to finish second in the Golden Boot race. Just imagine what he could achieve in 2022-23 if he steers clear of injury!

Bayer’s best finish in recent years came in 2010-11 when they claimed second place. Dortmund won the title that season, but Leverkusen managed to outperform third-place Bayern by three points.

“Die Werkself” has achieved three top-three finishes since then. Gerardo Seoane and his players will be desperate to put Leverkusen back on the map, so don’t be surprised if they improve on last season’s third-place finish in 2022-23.

2022-23 Potential Sleepers – Gladbach, Frankfurt, and Union

Across the past decade, the best European sports betting sites have watched Bayern dominate German soccer. Consequently, Bayern’s odds of winning the Bundesliga title have been painfully low in recent times.

On the flip side, this has led to some seriously attractive German Bundesliga odds elsewhere. If you’re feeling lucky and want to go against the grain, here are three outsiders priced between +8000 and +50000 to consider.

Borussia Monchengladbach (+8000)

Borussia Monchengladbach is a sleeping giant of German soccer.

Between 1969-70 and 1976-77, Gladbach claimed five top-flight titles in eight seasons. Although they have failed to lift the trophy since then, it feels like the historic club is destined to return to the top before too long.

Last season, the Foals beat Bayern 2-1 in the league before thrashing the champions 5-0 in the DFB-Pokal. If they can beat the top teams consistently in 2022-23, they will give themselves an excellent chance of challenging for the title.

Eintracht Frankfurt (+10000)

Eintracht Frankfurt’s first and only top-flight title came all the way back in 1959. The club achieved a handful of top-three finishes in the early 1990s, but they haven’t had much to shout about since then.

That said, the Eagles soared to a UEFA Europa League triumph last season – dispatching Spanish powerhouse Barcelona and EPL side West Ham United before beating Scottish giant Rangers in the final.

Frankfurt also got the better of Bayern in the previous campaign, sealing a 2-1 victory at the Allianz Arena. With stars like Evan Ndicka, Filip Kostic, and Daichi Kamada on board, the team will be quietly confident of upsetting the 2022-23 Bundesliga odds.

Union Berlin (+50000)

If Gladbach and Frankfurt are outsiders, then Union Berlin is a massive longshot. Priced at +50000, the club from the capital has the chance to make a mockery of the Bundesliga betting odds.

It is worth noting, however, that Union is a team on the up. After finishing eleventh in 2019-20, “Die Eisernen” rose to seventh in 2020-21. Last season, the overachievers snatched fifth place to secure Europa League soccer.

Now that Union is competing on the continental stage, the club can attract better players and continue to climb. Granted, the Bundesliga title may seem out of reach. But at +50000, I’m seriously tempted to lay down a small stake on the underdog.

My German Bundesliga Prediction for 2022-23

Bundesliga soccer ball

So, who will win the 2022-23 German Bundesliga title?

The early Bundesliga betting odds point towards another straightforward triumph for Bayern Munich. But with Lewandowski set to leave and other key players in the twilight of their careers, the defending champions won’t have it all their own way next season.

It is difficult to argue with the bookies’ viewpoint, given that Bayern has claimed the past ten titles. But with the Bavarians priced at -500 to secure the silverware, you will need to part ways with a sizeable sum of cash to make a worthwhile profit.

For that reason, I recommend backing Borussia Dortmund to lift the trophy. BVB’s odds of +800 are far more attractive.

Dortmund pushed Bayern all the way last season, finishing just eight points shy of the champions. On top of that, BVB is the only team to have prevented Bayern from winning the title in the past 13 seasons.

Having registered three second-place finishes in the previous four years, Dortmund is ready to pounce on a Bayern team that looks set to be without Lewandowski for the first time in a decade.

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