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Odds, Prediction, and Pick for the 2022 FIFA World Cup Golden Boot

| June 13, 2022 1:04 pm PDT
Fifa World Cup logo centered, (L-R): Harry Kane, Kylian Mbappe, Karim Benzema, and Romelu Lukaku

Are you ready to bet on the 2022 FIFA World Cup Golden Boot winner?

The tournament may be five months down the line, but many of the best sports betting sites have already dropped their 2022 World Cup Golden Boot odds. Therefore, it’s time to inspect the bookies’ prices and analyze the contenders.

Of course, a lot can change between now and the start of the tournament. But if you want to find the greatest possible betting value, taking advantage of the early odds is the way to go.

After reviewing the favorites and potential sleepers, I will share my 2022 World Cup Golden Boot prediction and pick with you. Let’s kick things off by checking out the latest odds and working through the rest.

2022 FIFA World Cup Golden Boot Odds

According to the 2022, World Cup Golden Boot odds at Betway, Kylian Mbappe (8.50) is the early frontrunner. France’s poster boy is favored to score more goals than anyone else in Qatar, having enjoyed a prolific 2021-22 campaign with PSG.

As you can see, England’s Harry Kane (9.00) is viewed as Mbappe’s closest challenger. After becoming the fastest player in soccer history to reach 50 international goals, the Three Lions captain will be confident of outscoring his rivals later this year.

The bookmakers also expect Karim Benzema (13.00) to compete for the Golden Boot. The veteran Frenchman will turn 35 the day after the World Cup final, but he is arguably playing the best soccer of his career right now.

Of course, Cristiano Ronaldo (15.00) and Lionel Messi (15.00) find themselves towards the top end of the bookies’ World Cup Golden Boot betting odds. The two icons are not likely to feature at another World Cup, so they will be desperate to finish on a high note.

Romelu Lukaku (17.00) and Neymar (19.00) are also in the mix, along with Vinicius Junior (21.00), Diogo Jota (26.00), and Memphis Depay (26.00), and Raheem Sterling (26.00).

Other notable names include Kevin De Bruyne (41.00), Luis Suarez (41.00), and Robert Lewandowski (41.00). Although they are priced at 41.00, they will all fancy their chances of upsetting the Golden Boot odds.

So, who will win the 2022 FIFA World Cup Golden Boot? It’s time to take a closer look at the top contenders.

Top World Cup Golden Boot Contenders for 2022

The 2022 FIFA World Cup Golden Boot odds suggest that Mbappe and Kane are the frontrunners, with Benzema, Ronaldo, and Messi close behind. Let’s examine the leading contenders for the Golden Boot at the Qatar World Cup.

Kylian Mbappe – France

Kylian Mbappe
  • 2022 World Cup Golden Boot Odds: 8.50
  • International Caps: 56
  • International Goals: 27
  • 2018 World Cup: 7 Games/4 Goals

Four years ago, Mbappe burst onto the scene at the 2018 FIFA World Cup – scoring four goals in seven games. After bagging a brace against Argentina, the then-teenager scored in the final as Les Blues clinched the trophy.

Fast-forward to today – Mbappe is widely regarded as the best forward in world soccer.

The 23-year-old posted outrageous numbers during the 2021-22 season, bagging 39 goals and 26 assists in 46 outings for Paris Saint-Germain. As a result, he secured his fourth successive Ligue 1 Golden Boot and earned himself a new big-money contract.

Ultimately, Mbappe’s record speaks for itself. With France expected to go deep into the tournament once again, the prolific forward will only get more opportunities to add to his incredible tally.

Harry Kane – England

Harry Kane
  • 2022 World Cup Golden Boot Odds: 9.00
  • International Caps: 72
  • International Goals: 50
  • 2018 World Cup: 6 Games/6 Goals

It only makes sense that the reigning World Cup Golden Boot winner is one of the favorites to claim the award in Qatar.

Earlier this month, Kane became the fastest player to reach 50 international goals – achieving the feat in just 71 appearances. Given the caliber of players below him on the list, Kane must be viewed as a serious Golden Boot contender.

Player Team Games
Harry Kane England 71
Neymar Brazil 74
Robert Lewandowski Poland 81
Cristiano Ronaldo Portugal 114
Lionel Messi Argentina 121

Many top real money gambling apps view England as the favorite to win the 2022 World Cup. If the Three Lions can fulfill their true potential, Kane will almost certainly find himself among the tournament’s top scorers.

The Tottenham Hotspur striker has netted a whopping 16 goals across his past 15 international appearances. His ability to score goals rapidly makes him a prime World Cup Golden Boot pick.

Follow the link below to find out where Kane ranks among the FIFA World Cup Golden Boot winners.

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Karim Benzema – France

Karim Benzema
  • 2022 World Cup Golden Boot Odds: 13.00
  • International Caps: 96
  • International Goals: 37
  • 2018 World Cup: N/A

Benzema has always been a prolific striker, but he took his game to another level the last term. The 34-year-old racked up 44 goals in 46 games during the 2021-22 campaign, firing Real Madrid to a memorable La Liga-UEFA Champions League double.

It is worth noting that Benzema scores tons of important goals, too, proving that he is a big-game player. The Frenchman invariably rises to the occasion, meaning he won’t be fazed by performing on soccer’s biggest stage in Qatar.

Last season, Benzema netted back-to-back Champions League hat-tricks against PSG and Chelsea before bagging a brace against Manchester City in the semi-finals. Very few players can do that.

Having been exiled from the French national team for several years, Benzema will be eager to compensate for lost time in Qatar. Judging by his performances in 2021-22, there is no reason why he can’t win the Golden Boot.

Cristiano Ronaldo – Portugal

Cristiano Ronaldo
  • 2022 World Cup Golden Boot Odds: 15.00
  • International Caps: 189
  • International Goals: 117
  • 2018 World Cup: 4 Games/4 Goals

You would be a fool to disregard Ronaldo when making your World Cup Golden Boot prediction. Granted, the 37-year-old is past his best. But he is still more than capable of finishing atop the scoring charts in Qatar.

Believe it or not, Ronaldo has netted an astonishing 117 goals in 189 international appearances. As the top scorer in the history of international soccer, he will be confident of securing the Golden Boot.

Player Team Goals Games
Cristiano Ronaldo Portugal 117 189
Ali Daei Iran 109 148
Mokhtar Dahri Malaysia 89 142
Lionel Messi Argentina 86 162
Ferenc Puskas Hungary/Spain 84 89

Since the start of last summer’s UEFA European Championship, CR7 has chalked up 13 goals in 14 games for Portugal. He even clinched the Euro 2020 Golden Boot after scoring five goals in four outings.

Let’s not forget that one of Ronaldo’s greatest goals came at the previous World Cup. The veteran marksman loves performing on the biggest stages in world soccer, so he will undoubtedly be a popular World Cup Golden Boot pick.

Ronaldo’s free-kick against Spain in 2018 is arguably one of the best goals in FIFA World Cup history. Check out the blog below for more World Cup screamers!

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Lionel Messi – Argentina

Lionel Messi
  • 2022 World Cup Golden Boot Odds: 15.00
  • International Caps: 162
  • International Goals: 86
  • 2018 World Cup: 4 Games/1 Goals

Like Ronaldo, Messi has scored goals frighteningly throughout his career. Although he is coming towards the end of his playing days, he is still one of the deadliest finishers on the planet.

The ex-Barcelona star experienced something of a difficult debut season at PSG, scoring 11 goals in 34 games last season. By his own high standards, that is a modest return. But that doesn’t mean he can’t claim the Golden Boot in Qatar.

It is worth remembering that Messi sealed the Copa America Golden Boot last year. The iconic forward bagged four goals and five assists in seven games on his way to lifting the trophy with Argentina.

Sure, the bookies’ World Cup Golden Boot betting odds favor Mbappe and Kane. But you cannot ignore Messi. The 2022 World Cup will likely be his last, so he will be desperate to go out with a bang.

Sleepers for the 2022 FIFA World Cup Golden Boot

Although the five players above are favored to score the most goals in Qatar, there are plenty of players who could upset the 2022 FIFA World Cup, Golden Boot, and betting odds. It’s time to inspect the hopeful outsiders and potential sleepers.

Romelu Lukaku – Belgium

As one of the few players who could break Ronaldo’s international goalscoring record, Lukaku must be included in the World Cup Golden Boot conversation.

It is no secret that Lukaku endured an unsuccessful 2021-22 season after returning to Chelsea. But having netted 68 goals in 102 matches for Belgium, the powerful striker will almost certainly challenge for the Golden Boot later this year.

Lukaku scored four goals in six games at the 2018 World Cup before scoring four in five at Euro 2020. The 29-year-old invariably finds the back of the net on multiple occasions at major tournaments, so it wouldn’t be a surprise if he won the award in Qatar.

Oh, and did I mention that he is priced at 17.00? Pretty tempting, right?

Vinicius Junior – Brazil

To say that Vinicius enjoyed a breakout 2021-22 campaign would be a colossal understatement.

Alongside Benzema, the super-skillful Brazilian guided Real Madrid to the La Liga-Champions League double last term. He did so by notching 22 goals and 20 assists in 52 games across all competitions.

Granted, Vinicius’ record of one goal in 14 appearances for Brazil is nothing to write home about. But after cementing his status as one of soccer’s best young talents, it feels ready to take the international scene by storm.

When you look at the 2022 FIFA World Cup groups, Brazil has a relatively easy route to the knockout phase. That means Vinicius could score more than his fair share of goals.

Serge Gnabry – Germany

I REALLY like the look of Serge Gnabry at 41.00!

Germany boasts a host of top-class forwards, including Timo Werner, Karim Adeyemi, Kai Havertz, and Leroy Sane. Let’s not forget that Thomas Muller – the 2010 World Cup Golden Boot winner – is still banging in goals for fun, too.

However, Gnabry’s international record is phenomenal. The Bayern Munich ace has scored 20 goals in 33 outings for his country, proving that he can rack up lots of goals in a short space of time. That is an ideal attribute for a Golden Boot hopeful to possess.

The Germans have won four World Cups and finished as runners-up on four occasions. They always seem to find a way to reach the latter stages of the tournament, so you can expect their forwards to score plenty of goals.

My 2022 World Cup Golden Boot Prediction and Pick

Harry Kane is my 2022 FIFA World Cup betting pick. Head over to Betway to back your pick.Bet on the 2022 World Cup Golden Boot at Betway

The 2022 FIFA World Cup Golden Boot betting odds suggest that the race to finish as the top goalscorer in Qatar will be hugely competitive. I mean, Mbappe and Kane are the current favorites. But they are priced at 8.50 and 9.00, respectively.

Although the odds may seem generous, they are high for a reason. It takes something special to claim the World Cup Golden Boot, so it is always difficult to predict the winner.

That said, I believe that Harry Kane is in pole position at this moment in time. Having recently scored his 50th international goal in just his 71st game for England, he is arguably the most clinical finisher on the planet right now.

Plus, Kane already knows what it takes to secure the silverware. The Tottenham striker scored more than anyone else at the 2018 World Cup, demonstrating his ruthlessness in front of the goal.

Don’t forget about the likely-looking outsiders, too. There is plenty of value to be found in the early 2022 World Cup Golden Boot odds, so be sure to consider all the options before parting ways with your cash.

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Ben Morris
Ben Morris

Ben is a sportswriter and tipster who specializes in soccer. Currently based in the UK, he has traveled all around the world watching – and betting on – his beloved sport.

Alongside his regular soccer content, Ben publishes blogs and picks for cricket, Formula 1, Aussie rules, darts, and various other sports.

Ben is a diehard fan of Nottingham Forest and England, so he hasn’t had much to cheer about in recent years!

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