Early Title Odds and Analysis for the 2022-23 EPL Season

By Ben Morris in English Premier League
| July 5, 2022 1:14 pm PDT
Premier Leave 2022-23 Betting Preview, soccer background

It seems like only yesterday that Manchester City secured that comeback victory over Aston Villa to pip Liverpool to the 2021-22 Premier League title. However, the new season is already on the horizon.

Due to the winter World Cup, the 2022-23 Premier League campaign is scheduled to kick off on August 5 – less than three months after the previous season. Sure, it’s a quick turnaround. But who’s complaining?

All the best EPL betting apps have released their 2022-23 Premier League odds. Consequently, it’s time to examine the bookmakers’ prices and start thinking about your EPL predictions for the upcoming campaign.

Can Pep Guardiola’s men defend their crown? Will Liverpool outstrip the reigning champions? Or could we see a new name on the trophy? Keep reading this 2022-23 Premier League betting preview to get the lowdown.

English Premier League Odds for 2022-23

If the 2022-23 EPL odds at Betway are anything to go by, Manchester City (-163) is on course to clinch yet another title. Not only have Guardiola’s men won each of the last two titles, but they have also won four of the previous five.

Liverpool (+275) is seen as Man City’s nearest rival. In truth, Jurgen Klopp’s boys have been Man City’s closest challenger for several years. The 2019-20 champions pushed City all the way last season, only to finish a solitary point off the pace.

The Premier League betting odds indicate that Chelsea (+1400) and Tottenham Hotspur (+1400) are the best of the rest. Chelsea claimed the 2016-17 title under the guidance of Antonio Conte, who is now the manager of Spurs.
EPL trophy

Manchester United (+3300) and Arsenal (+5000) complete the traditional “big six.” Newcastle United (+8000) is the only other team with odds below +20000.

Leicester City (+20000) made a mockery of the EPL odds in 2015-16, becoming the first club outside the big six since Blackburn Rovers in 1994-95 to win the Premier League title. Can the Foxes upset the odds once again?

At the opposite end of the spectrum, the three newly-promoted teams – AFC Bournemouth, Fulham, and Nottingham Forest – are priced at +100000. That tells you everything you need to know about the toughness of England’s top tier.

Reliving the 2021-22 Premier League Season

Before we look ahead to the upcoming season, we must reflect on the previous campaign. After all, studying the 2021-22 season will only increase your chances of making successful 2022-23 Premier League predictions.

This is how the top six shaped up the last term.

2021-22 PREMIER LEAGUE TABLE (TOP 6)
Team Wins Draws Losses Goal Difference Points
Manchester City (c) 29 6 3 +73 93
Liverpool 28 8 2 +68 92
Chelsea 21 11 6 +43 74
Tottenham Hotspur 22 5 11 +29 71
Arsenal 22 3 13 +13 69
Manchester United 16 10 12 0 58

As you can see, Man City and Liverpool were in a league of their own last season. The title protagonists finished just a single point apart, with third-place Chelsea 18 points behind the top two.

Liverpool registered one loss fewer than Man City, but City claimed one win more than Liverpool. Although both sides conceded 26 goals, Guardiola’s men scored five goals more than Klopp’s boys.

The Cityzens secured the title on the season’s final day, coming from 2-0 down to beat Aston Villa 3-2 in dramatic fashion. Meanwhile, the Reds beat Wolves 3-1 at Anfield. But they ended up falling agonizingly short.

The gulf between the top two and the rest of the league was vast last season. Can the chasing pack close the gap in 2022-23? It’s time to analyze all the top contenders and potential sleepers.

Will Manchester City Win Three EPL Titles in a Row?

As I already mentioned, Liverpool pushed Man City all the way last term. Still, few would argue that City did not deserve to lift the trophy.

The Cityzens lost just three of their 38 league games in 2021-22, scoring a whopping 99 goals in the process. As a result, they secured their fourth crown in five years. It is also worth noting that they have won six of the previous 11 EPL titles.

RECENT PREMIER LEAGUE CHAMPIONS (PAST 5 WINNERS)
Season Champion Runner-Up
2017-18 Manchester City Manchester United
2018-19 Manchester City Liverpool
2019-20 Liverpool Manchester City
2020-21 Manchester City Manchester United
2021-22 Manchester City Liverpool

During the previous campaign, Kevin De Bruyne (15 goals, 8 assists), Raheem Sterling (13 goals, 6 assists), and Riyad Mahrez (11 goals, 5 assists) each bagged 16+ goal involvements. Phil Foden (9 goals, 5 assists) and Bernardo Silva (8 goals, 4 assists) also chipped in consistently.

Just when it looked as though Guardiola’s side couldn’t possibly get any stronger in attack, Erling Haaland joined the club.

If Haaland’s goalscoring record is anything to go by, Man City should be even tougher to deal with in 2022-23. City paid Borussia Dortmund £54 million for the Norwegian prodigy, who netted 83 goals in 87 appearances for the German club.

The defending champions have reinforced their midfield, too, with Kalvin Phillips joining from Leeds United for £42 million.

Although Gabriel Jesus and Fernandinho have left the club, Man City still boasts the most valuable squad in the Premier League – and the world, for that matter! With that in mind, it is easy to understand why City is atop the 2022-23 EPL betting odds.

Can Liverpool Outperform Man City in 2022-23?

Liverpool logo

If it weren’t for Man City’s sustained brilliance, Liverpool would have claimed more Premier League titles in recent years.

The Reds secured the silverware in 2019-20, outperforming City by 18 points. But they have also finished one point behind the champions on two occasions in the past four seasons. They will be desperate to avoid the same humiliation in 2022-23.

LIVERPOOL’S RECENT PREMIER LEAGUE FINISHES
  • 2018-19: 2nd (1 point behind Man City)
  • 2019-20: 1st (18 points ahead of Man City)
  • 2020-21: 3rd (17 points behind Man City)
  • 2021-22: 2nd (1 point behind Man City)

Klopp’s boys can count themselves extremely unfortunate to have finished second last term. I mean, they suffered just two defeats in 38 games while scoring 94 goals along the way.

Once again, Mohamed Salah (23 goals, 14 assists) was the star of the show in 2021-22. “The Egyptian King” secured his third EPL Golden Boot in five seasons, sharing the award with Tottenham’s Heung-min Son.

But Salah was not the only standout performer. Sadio Mane (16 goals, 4 assists) and Diogo Jota (15 goals, 6 assists) were also immense, while Andrew Robertson (3 goals, 10 assists) and Trent Alexander-Arnold (2 goals, 12 assists) continued to deliver from full-back.

Mane joined German giant Bayern Munich last month, but the recent arrival of Darwin Nunez maintains Liverpool’s attacking threat. The 23-year-old scored 34 goals in 41 games across all competitions for Benfica last season.

Salah maybe 30 years old, but he is already one of the best Premier League players in history. Follow the link below to discover where Liverpool’s talisman ranks among the top 20 EPL players of all time.

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Other Premier League Contenders for 2022-23

The latest English Premier League odds point towards a two-horse title race between Man City and Liverpool. In truth, it is difficult to argue with the bookies’ viewpoint – given what City and Liverpool have achieved in recent years.

However, that doesn’t mean to say that a different team can’t upset the EPL odds in 2022-23. This section of my Premier League betting guide looks at four sides that could break the Man City-Liverpool hegemony.

Chelsea (+1400)

Having claimed five of the past 18 EPL crowns, Chelsea is always included in the title conversation at the beginning of every season.

The Blues sealed back-to-back titles in 2004-05 and 2005-06 before triumphing again in 2009-10. Jose Mourinho returned to guide the club to glory in 2014-15 before Antonio Conte led the Londoners to the trophy two years later.

Since then, however, Chelsea has finished between third and fifth on five occasions. Can Thomas Tuchel transform the team’s fortunes in 2022-23?

With Romelu Lukaku back at Inter Milan following a calamitous comeback campaign at Stamford Bridge, Tuchel can now focus on getting the best out of his gifted squad. Mason Mount, N’Golo Kante, and Kai Havertz are among the superstars at the manager’s disposal.

It has also been reported that Man City’s Raheem Sterling will join the Blues. Having bagged 131 goals and 94 assists for City, Sterling could spearhead Chelsea’s title charge.

Tottenham Hotspur (+1400)

It’s safe to say that Tottenham’s recent transfer business has made many people sit up and take notice.

Although we are still a month away from the new season, the north London outfit has already signed Richarlison from Everton and Yves Bissouma from Brighton. The free signing of Ivan Perisic from Inter is also seen as a major coup.

Let’s not forget that the Spurs already have two world-class forwards in their ranks. Heung-min Son and Harry Kane combined for 58 EPL goal involvements the last term, highlighting the team’s attacking threat.

MOST GOAL INVOLVEMENTS IN THE EPL (2021-22)
Player Club Goals Assists Goals Involvements
Mohamed Salah Liverpool 23 14 37
Heung-min Son Tottenham 23 9 32
Harry Kane Tottenham 17 9 26
Jarrod Bowen West Ham 12 12 24
Kevin De Bruyne Manchester City 15 8 23

It is also worth noting that Dejan Kulusevski tore things up throughout the second half of the previous campaign after arriving on loan from Juventus, racking up five goals and eight assists in 18 league games.

Better still, Tottenham is managed by a serial winner. Conte claimed five top-flight titles during his time at Juventus, Chelsea, and Inter, so he clearly knows what it takes to win trophies.

Tottenham’s last top-flight triumph came all the way back in 1960-61. Conte and co. have the chance to change that record.

Manchester United (+3300)

Manchester United logo

It is no secret that Manchester United is the most successful club in the history of English soccer. In addition to winning a record 20 top-flight titles, the Red Devils have finished as runners-up on 17 occasions.

However, Man Utd has not won the league since 2012-13. Across the past nine seasons, many managers have tried – and failed – to take the club back to where it belongs.

The record champions registered their worst-ever Premier League campaign last season, winning only 16 of their 38 games to finish sixth – 35 points behind Man City.

Erik ten Hag has been tasked with leading the team in 2022-23. The Dutchman enjoyed plenty of success with Ajax, but it remains to be seen whether the new manager has what it takes to transform United into a title contender once again.

Arsenal (+5000)

While Man Utd’s last EPL triumph came in 2012-13, Arsenal hasn’t won the league since 2003-04. Both sides have enjoyed sustained periods of dominance over the years, but they are nowhere near the level of Man City and Liverpool right now.

Arsenal was wildly inconsistent the last term, recording 22 wins, three draws, and 13 losses. Only Man City and Liverpool notched more victories, but seven teams recorded fewer defeats.

Granted, the Gunners have a young squad. But they will need to discover some consistency if they want to get anywhere near the Premier League trophy in 2022-23.

The recent signings of Gabriel Jesus and Fabio Vieira will help Arsenal’s cause. However, the new additions must hit the ground running if Mikel Arteta’s side is serious about challenging for the title.

2022-23 EPL Sleepers to Monitor

As the Premier League betting odds suggest, it will be extremely difficult for any team outside the so-called big six to compete for the top prize in 2022-23. Still, there is no harm in analyzing a few promising outsiders when betting on the EPL winner.

Here are my 2022-23 Premier League sleepers, priced between +8000 and +25000.

Newcastle United (+8000)

There is a sense that Newcastle United will challenge for the EPL title in the not-too-distance future. I mean, the club has the wealthiest owners in world soccer following the Public Investment Fund’s takeover in 2021.

Under the guidance of Eddie Howe, the Magpies won 12 of their final 18 games last term – including six of their last eight. With Sven Botman, Nick Pope, and Matt Targett already coming through the door this summer, Newcastle is set for an exciting campaign.

Leicester City (+20000)

Before the start of the 2015-16 season, the Foxes were priced at +500000 before producing one of the biggest longshot wins in the history of sports betting. The bookies won’t make that mistake again, but you can still get odds of +20000 for Leicester to lift the trophy in 2021-22.

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Brendan Rodgers’ side endured a campaign to forget last season, finishing four points outside the top seven. But with stars like Jamie Vardy, James Maddison, Wilfred Ndidi, and Youri Tielemans on board, Leicester has the potential to spring another major surprise.

Aston Villa (+25000)

Unfortunately, Aston Villa will always be remembered as one of the worst teams in Premier League history after suffering relegation with just 17 points in 2015-16. But a lot has changed for the Birmingham outfit since then.

Managed by Steven Gerrard, the Villains boast one of the most exciting squads in the division. Philippe Coutinho is the obvious star, but players such as Diego Carlos, Ollie Watkins, and Boubacar Kamara make Villa a genuine force to be reckoned with.

Premier League Prediction and Pick for 2022-23

Manchester City is my 2022-23 Premier League pick. Head over to Betway to back your pick now!Bet on the 2022-23 EPL Season at Betwway

So, I guess you want my 2022-23 EPL prediction and betting pick?

If the opening Premier League odds are to be believed, Man City and Liverpool will be the teams to beat when the new campaign gets underway. Can the Cityzens clinch their fifth title in six seasons? Or will Liverpool regain the crown?

The Reds have given Guardiola’s men a serious run for their money in recent years, but I can see Man City triumphing once again. With Haaland on board, City looks set to get even stronger in 2022-23.

If you’re looking for an outsider to back, I recommend opting for Tottenham. Spurs appear to be building something special under Conte, so I wouldn’t be surprised if they pushed the frontrunners in the coming season.

That said, Man City and Liverpool have been in a league of their own for several years now. The Cityzens pipped the Reds to the title last season – and I expect them to repeat that feat in 2022-23.

Are you looking for more Premier League betting tips? If so, be sure to check out the pages below.

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