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2022 A-League Finals Betting Preview – Odds, Contender Analysis, and Predictions

| May 13, 2022 7:40 am PDT
A-League logo, Players Jamie Maclaren, Jamie Young, Marcos Urena; Mangers Tony Popovic, Carl Veart, and Ufuk Talay

The 2021-22 A-League regular season is complete. Fresh from clinching a second successive Premier’s Plate, Melbourne City heads into the finals series as the team to beat.

Melbourne Victory, Western United, Adelaide United, Central Coast Mariners, and Wellington Phoenix will join Melbourne City in the finals. But can anyone stop Patrick Kisnorbo’s men from defending their crown?

All the top A-League betting sites have updated their 2022 A-League finals odds ahead of the postseason. So, it’s time for me to examine the latest prices, analyze the contenders, and share my A-League finals predictions.

Before we go any further, you need to know where to bet on the A-League finals.

Where to Bet on the A-League Finals Series

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Be sure to follow the links below if you’re betting on the A-League finals from Australia. Lucky for you, we have already ranked the best sports betting sites in Australia.

2022 A-League Finals Odds – Grand Final Winner

Melbourne City2.25
Melbourne Victory3.25
Western United8.50
Adelaide United10.00
Central Coast Mariners12.00
Wellington Phoenix21.00

According to the 2022 A-League finals odds at Betway, Melbourne City (2.25) is in pole position to lift the trophy for the second year running.

That said, Melbourne Victory (3.25) is expected to push City all the way. Tony Popovic’s boys finished just a single point behind City on the A-League ladder, proving that they are ready to compete with their cross-city rivals.

Betway believes there is little to separate Western United (8.50), Adelaide United (10.00), and Central Coast Mariners (12.00). After all, they all finished within three points of each other in the standings.

The A-League finals betting odds indicate that Wellington Phoenix (21.00) is the rank outsider. Although the New Zealanders finished six points clear of seventh-place Macarthur, they have struggled for consistency throughout the campaign.

A-League Finals Series Schedule (2022)

The 2022 A-League Finals Series gets underway on Saturday, May 14. Western United and Wellington face off in the first elimination final before Adelaide and Central Coast battle it out for the fourth semi-final spot on Sunday, May 15.

  • Elimination Final 1 – Western United vs. Wellington Phoenix (May 14)
  • Elimination Final 2 – Adelaide United vs. Central Coast Mariners (May 15)

Having finished atop the standings, Melbourne City will face the lower-ranked elimination final winner in the semi-finals, while Victory will take on the higher-ranked qualifier. The semi-finals are two-legged ties, with each side playing home and away.

  • Semi-Final 1 – Melbourne City vs. Lower Ranked Elimination Final Winner (May 17-22)
  • Semi-Final 2 – Melbourne Victory vs. Higher Ranked Elimination Final Winner (May 17-22)

The 2022 A-League Grand Final is scheduled to take place on Saturday, May 28. The showpiece game will be played at the home stadium of the highest-ranked finalist, giving the higher-ranked team something of an advantage.

  • Grand Final – Winner of Semi-Final 1 vs. Winner of Semi-Final 2 (May 28)

Now that we’re up to speed on the A-League finals betting odds and the schedule, it’s time to look at all six contenders.

Can Anyone Stop Melbourne City?

Melbourne City badge
  • 2022 A-League Championship Odds: 2.25
  • A-League Ladder Position: 1st
  • Last Season: Champions
  • Total A-League Championships: 1 (2021)

Having already defended their premiership crown, the reigning champions are the bookmakers’ favorites to secure the top prize on May 28.

Melbourne City was the only team to win over half of their regular-season games, picking up 14 victories in 26 outings. As a result, they finished one point clear of Melbourne Victory on the A-League ladder.

Mathew Leckie (9 goals, 4 assists), Andrew Nabbout (5 goals, 7 assists), Florin Berenguer (5 goals, 4 assists), and Marco Tilio (4 goals, 7 assists) have all shone throughout the campaign. But once again, Jamie Maclaren (15 goals, 2 assists) has been the star of the show.

Player Team Games Goals
Jamie Maclaren Melbourne City 24 15
Beka Mikeltadze Newcastle Jets 24 13
Jason Cummings Central Coast Mariners 20 10
Nick D’Agostino Melbourne Victory 24 10
Mathew Leckie Melbourne City 20 9
Aleksandar Prijovic Western United 23 9

Maclaren recently collected his third straight Golden Boot after netting 15 goals in 24 regular-season games. Remarkably, the 28-year-old has claimed four of the previous six Golden Boots.

Three teams – Melbourne Victory (25), Western United (30), and Adelaide United (31) – have conceded fewer goals than City this season. But with Maclaren leading the line, Kisnorbo’s side is capable of outscoring anyone.

Will Melbourne Victory Rise Once Again?

Melbourne Victory badge
  • 2022 A-League Championship Odds: 3.25
  • A-League Ladder Position: 2nd
  • Last Season: 12th
  • Total A-League Championships: 4 (2007, 2009, 2015, 2018)

It is very difficult to overplay the job that Tony Popovic has done at Melbourne Victory.

Last season, Victory finished rock bottom of the A-League ladder after enduring their worst-ever campaign. Fast-forward to today – they are the bookies’ second favorites to clinch the championship.

To say that Popovic has transformed Victory would be a massive understatement. Not only has he made his team a serious threat in attack, but he has also made his team solid at the back. In fact, Victory has the best defensive record this season.

The Boys in the Blue head into the finals on a 15-game unbeaten streak. Better still, they have won seven of their previous nine outings. They are undoubtedly the most in-form team in the competition.

Since the beginning of April, Victory has dispatched Adelaide (1-0), Melbourne City (3-0), and Wellington (3-1), not to mention the 4-1 wins over Macarthur and Sydney FC. Pretty impressive, huh?

Although Popovic has guided Western Sydney Wanderers and Perth Glory to premiership triumphs, he has lost no fewer than four A-League Grand Finals as a manager. Could this be the year that he finally secures the top prize?

Could Western United Go All the Way?

Western United badge
  • 2022 A-League Championship Odds: 8.50
  • A-League Ladder Position: 3rd
  • Last Season: 10th
  • Total A-League Championships: 0

Like Victory, Western United has thrived under new management this season. Last year, Mark Rudan led the club to a disappointing tenth-place finish, but John Aloisi has completely remodeled the team.

Aloisi’s men made a flying start to the campaign, losing just three of their first 16 games. They also racked up a couple of four-game winning streaks during that period, along with eight clean sheets.

Granted, they have not been at their best of late – recording three wins, three draws, and four losses across their final ten regular-season outings. But they have already proved that they are capable of competing with the league’s top teams.

Player Team Games Clean Sheets Shutout Rate
Jamie Young Western United 26 10 38.5%
Mark Birighitti Central Coast Mariners 25 9 36.0%
Ivan Kelava Melbourne Victory 25 7 28.0%

As the table above details, Western’s Jamie Young has kept more clean sheets than any other goalkeeper this season. If the veteran shot-stopper can pick up where he left off in the regular season, Western could go deep into the postseason.

Is Adelaide United a Realistic Contender?

Adelaide United badge
  • 2022 A-League Championship Odds: 10.00
  • A-League Ladder Position: 4th
  • Last Season: Semi-Finals
  • Total A-League Championships: 1 (2016)

Adelaide heads into the finals series on a five-game winning streak, having seen off Macarthur (1-0), Sydney FC (3-2), Perth Glory (2-0), and Brisbane Roar (2-0), and Western (2-1).

The Reds will be confident of upsetting the A-League finals betting odds after scoring tens of goals and keeping three clean sheets across their past five encounters. Talk about peaking at just the right time!

Although the South Australians only managed to outscore five teams during the regular season, they enter the postseason with the third-best defensive record in the comp.

It feels like Craig Goodwin holds the key to Adelaide’s success in the finals. So far, the influential winger has bagged seven goals and six assists, meaning he has had a hand in 13 of his team’s 38 goals this season.

Can Central Coast Mariners Secure the Silverware?

Central Coast Mariners badge
  • 2022 A-League Championship Odds: 12.00
  • A-League Ladder Position: 5th
  • Last Season: Elimination Finals
  • Total A-League Championships: 1 (2013)

Funnily enough, Adelaide is not the only team that heads into the finals on a five-game winning run. Indeed, the Mariners have tried their best to steal Adelaide’s thunder in recent weeks.

Following high-scoring victories over Wellington (4-0) and Newcastle (4-2), Central Coast beat Western (1-0) and Brisbane (2-0) before overcoming the Jets (2-0) once again. That means they have notched 13 goals and four clean sheets in their last five outings.

When you look at the bigger picture, the Coasties have suffered a solitary defeat across their previous 14 A-League matches. Having secured nine wins and four draws since the beginning of March, it’s safe to say that they come into the finals series on a high note.

Thanks mainly to the exploits of Jason Cummings (10 goals, 6 assists), Marcos Urena (7 goals, 6 assists), and Beni Nkololo (7 goals, 4 assists), the Mariners are the second-highest scorers in the comp. Nobody will want to face them in the finals.

Will Wellington Phoenix Beat the A-League Odds?

Wellington Phoenix badge
  • 2022 A-League Championship Odds: 21.00
  • A-League Ladder Position: 6th
  • Last Season: 7th
  • Total A-League Championships: 0

It is no surprise that Wellington sits at the bottom of the bookies’ 2022 A-League finals odds list. After all, the Kiwis have to get past the third favorite (Western United) in the elimination finals just to set up a semi-final clash against the favorite (Melbourne City).

It wouldn’t be unfair to say that Wellington has been one of the most inconsistent teams in the league this season. Only the top three sides picked up more regular-season wins, but only three of the bottom four sides suffered more losses.

On top of that, the Nix have conceded more goals than anyone else in 2021-22. With a whopping 49 in the goals against column, they have conceded at a rate of 1.9 goals per game this season.

Still, Ufuk Talay’s men will fancy their chances of upsetting the A-League finals odds. Although they have lost three of their last five games, they have won six of their previous 11. Let’s not forget that they also crushed Western 4-1 last month!

My 2022 A-League Finals Predictions

The exciting thing about the A-League finals from a betting perspective is that all six teams stand a genuine chance of lifting the trophy.

Of course, Melbourne City (2.25) and Melbourne Victory (3.25) are the obvious favorites because they have already punched their ticket to the semi-finals. But the other four sides are only three or four positive results away from winning the title.

If I had to choose between City and Victory, I would pick City. Despite Victory’s lengthy unbeaten run, the defending champions know what it takes to go all the way. Plus, they have Maclaren on their side!

If you’re looking for an outside bet, I recommend backing Central Coast Mariners (12.00). Not only have the Coasties won each of their last five games, but they have also lost just one of their previous 14.

That’s it for my 2022 A-League finals predictions. If you enjoyed this A-League final betting preview, be sure to leave a comment below. I want to hear YOUR predictions for the A-League finals.

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Ben Morris

Ben is a sportswriter and tipster who specializes in soccer. Currently based in the UK, he has traveled all around the world watching – and betting on – his beloved sport.

Alongside his regular soccer content, Ben publishes blogs and picks for cricket, Formula 1, Aussie rules, darts, and various other sports.

Ben is a diehard fan of Nottingham Forest and England, so he hasn’t had much to cheer about in recent years!

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