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2021 WNBA Finals Odds and Analysis for August

| August 18, 2021 10:00 am PDT

Following a nearly 30-day break for the Olympics, the 2021 WNBA season is back in action.

The Las Vegas Aces and Seattle Storm both have the best record in the league at 16-6, and look to be the biggest threats for the 2021 WNBA Finals.

It’s not always as easy as looking at the two best teams, of course, so this 2021 WNBA Finals betting update should help bettors decide how to proceed.

With the second half of the season back up and running, this is a great time to look at the odds and contenders for the 2021 WNBA Finals.

Let’s first go over the latest 2021 WNBA Finals odds as of August, and see which teams stand out the most.

Odds for the 2021 WNBA Finals

Team Odds
Las Vegas Aces +220
Seattle Storm +230
Connecticut Sun +525
Minnesota Lynx +650
Chicago Sky +800
Phoenix Mercury +1600
Washington Mystics +1600
Dallas Wings +4000
New York Liberty +4000
Atlanta Dream +10000
Los Angeles Sparks +10000
Indiana Fever +30000

It’s not much of a surprise to see the Las Vegas Aces at the top of the board. They have the best record in the league and happen to have the best offense.

The Aces have also made it to at least the Conference Finals the last two seasons, and look like a solid bet to do at least that again this year.

If there’s any surprises among the odds, it’s the New York Liberty. They are seventh in the league; two spots clear of a playoff spot.

However, they have the ninth-best odds. Their best player, Natasha Howard, also just returned after missing time with an MCL sprain.

These 2021 WNBA Finals can be found at Sportsbetting.ag, but keep in mind the pricing should be fluid. It also can change from site to site, so be sure to shop around before betting on the WNBA Finals this year.

Odds aside, let’s look at the current favorite, as well as the other contenders for 2021,

Why Are the Las Vegas Aces the Favorite?

Because they’re the best team? All jokes aside, the Las Vegas Aces are the favorites to win the 2021 WNBA Finals because of their elite talent level and number one offense.

The Aces came into this season looking for redemption. They tied the Seattle Storm last season for the best record in the league at 18-4. Unfortunately, the Aces were no match for the Storm, losing in a three-game sweep in the 2020 WNBA Finals.

This season, they are looking to finish the job.

Led by 2020 league MVP A’ja Wilson, the Aces have the best offense in the league. Their 90.4 points per game are four points ahead of second-place Seattle.

Wilson is certainly doing her part with these stats.

  • 19.4 points
  • 9.3 rebounds
  • 3.1 assists
  • 1.2 blocks
  • 45.5 field goal percentage

In addition to Wilson, Chelsea Gray, Liz Cambage and Dearica Hamby all made the all-star team this season.

Gray’s 6.4 assists per game rank second in the league. She is also averaging 11.3 points on 35.4 percent three-point shooting.

Cambage is averaging 14.8 points and 8.9 rebounds while shooting 54.8 percent from the field. Her impact on the defensive end is what really stands out. Cambage is third in the WNBA with 1.7 blocks per game.

None of Hamby’s individual stats stand out, but she is having an all-around good season. She is averaging 11.4 points, 7.1 rebounds, and 1.1 steals. Hamby is also shooting 52.4 percent from the field.

Because of the WNBA’s playoff format, it’s imperative that you finish with one of the top two records in the league. If not, you’ll have to play in a single-elimination game in the first two rounds.

The Aces are just a half-game above third-place Connecticut Sun, so they better keep the pedal to the medal. Either way, they are in a great position to make another run at a championship.

Other 2021 WNBA Finals Contenders

The Las Vegas Aces may have the best record in the league, but the top four teams are within two games of each other.

Bettors may want to take a closer look at the other WNBA Finals contenders before placing their bets this season.

Let’s look at who can challenge Las Vegas for the 2021 WNBA Championship.

Seattle Storm (+230)

I think the consensus is the Seattle Storm are 1B to the Las Vegas Aces’ 1A.

Last season, both teams finished with the best record in the league at 18-4. Las Vegas had the tiebreaker and therefore had home-court advantage. However, Seattle swept Las Vegas in the Finals to win their second championship in three seasons.

Seattle’s season got off to an amazing start. They beat the Aces by 14 points in their first game but lost by 16 in the following game. From there, Seattle went 11-1 to open the season 12-2.

Things have been a little uneven since then. Seattle is just 4-4 in their last eight games. However, they do have momentum on their side.

To celebrate the WNBA’s 25th season, the league implemented a Commissioner’s Cup.

It would take the best team from each conference in the first half of the season and match them up for a championship game post-Olympic break.

The Storm defeated the Connecticut Sun 79-57 to win the Cup. Breanna Stewart won MVP of the game with 17 points.

Speaking of Stewart, she has been the driving force behind the Storm’s great season. The 2018 MVP and two-time Finals MVP is having another MVP caliber season.

She is averaging 20.6 points, 9.6 rebounds, 2.8 assists, and 1.6 blocks.

WNBA legend Sue Bird and 2015 first overall pick Jewell Loyd are the other star players for the Storm. Check out their stats this season.

Stat Jewell Loyd Sue Bird
Points 17.9 10.9
Assists 4.2 5.5
Rebounds 4.0 2.7
Steals 1.3 1.0
Field Goal Percentage 42.4 46.3
Three-Point Percentage 36.2 43.5

Seattle has momentum from winning the Commissioner’s Cup, but they need to translate that over to their regular season.

They’re in danger of losing a top-two spot in the standings to the Connecticut Sun.

Connecticut Sun (+525)

The Connecticut Sun are coming off back-to-back seasons where they advanced to the Conference Finals.

In 2019, they advanced all the way to the WNBA Finals, where they lost in five games to the Washington Mystics.

Last season, the Sun nearly pulled off a Cinderella run. They finished the 2020 regular season with a 10-12 record.

That was good enough for the seventh seed. Connecticut went on to advance to the Conference Finals. They led the Las Vegas Aces 2-1 before dropping the final two games of the series.

This season, Connecticut looks a lot closer to their 2019 team.

They began this season 8-2, including a pair of wins over Las Vegas.

Connecticut did lose three consecutive games, but have won seven of their last eight games.

They currently sit third in the league with a 15-6 record. The Sun are just a half-game behind Las Vegas and Seattle Storm for the best record in the league.

It’s their elite defense that has put them in championship contention. Look where they rank in points allowed.

  • Connecticut Sun: 72.5 points
  • Los Angeles Sparks: 79.4 points
  • Chicago Sky: 79.6 points
  • Minnesota Lynx: 79.9 points
  • Seattle Storm: 80.0 points

I mean, it’s not even close.

Even with their elite defense, the Sun’s three all-stars made the team thanks to their offensive skills.

Jonquel Jones, DeWanna Bonner, and Brionna Jones are all averaging over 15 points this season.

Jonquel is definitely their top star with 20.9 points per game and a league-high 11.3 rebounds per game. At this point in the season, she is one of the front runners for MVP.

Brionna’s 56.3 field goal percentage is third in the WNBA.

Connecticut’s season is going to come down to their offense. Their 79.4 points per game are fourth-worst in the league. It’ll be tough to win a championship with that, no matter how great their defense is.

Minnesota Lynx (+650)

The Minnesota Lynx ruled the WNBA in the 2010s. From 2011-2017, they went to six WNBA Finals, winning four of them. However, the Lynx haven’t made the finals since 2017. The way they began this season, it looked like that trend would continue.

Minnesota’s season got off to a disastrous start, losing their first four games. Their season did improve when they won five of their next eight games.

Still, they sat 5-7 and outside of the playoff picture. That’s when Minnesota quit messing around and kicked it into overdrive.

They are currently on an eight-game win streak, with two of those wins coming against the Las Vegas Aces.

The Lynx surge has moved them up to fourth in the league with a 13-7 record. Minnesota is just two games behind Las Vegas and Seattle Storm for the best record.

It’s interesting because none of the Lynx major stats stand out. They rank fourth in points per game and points allowed. Guess where they rank in point differential? Fourth.

I will say, they do have the second-best team field goal percentage at 46.2

This team is fairly balanced with five players averaging over 10 points. However, the Lynx’s primary contributors are Napheesa Collier and Sylvia Fowles.

Here is what the Lynx’s two all-stars have done this season.

Stat Napheesa Collier Sylvia Fowles
Points 17.3 16.2
Rebounds 6.6 9.9
Assists 3.2 1.6
Steals 1.4 2.1
Blocks 1.5 1.8
Field Goal Percentage 47.0 62.1

Minnesota’s season didn’t start out the way they hoped it would, but a mid-season surge has them right in the thick of things.

This next stretch is going to be big for the Lynx. Their next four games come against three of the top five teams in the WNBA. That includes a pair of road games against the Connecticut Sun.

That stretch is going to show us if their recent surge was for real.

Betting on the 2021 WNBA Finals

Betting on the WNBA Champion can be tough because of their playoff format. The top two teams have a clear advantage because they avoid the single-elimination phase.

Right now, I’m picking the Seattle Storm to win their second straight championship and third in four seasons.

Breanna Stewart may be the best player in the league, and I think she will lead her team to the title.

Also, she may be 40 years old, but how can you bet against Sue Bird?

In all seriousness, the Storm look equipped to go on a title run. Whether you like them to win it all or not, hopefully this breakdown of the 2021 WNBA Finals odds helps you with your betting process.

Once you’re ready to back a team, head over to the best sites for betting on basketball.

Nicholas Sterling

Nicholas has been a Sports Writer with GamblingSites.com since May 2021. He has a rich sports background, writing about NASCAR, NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, Golf, etc. Nick is always ready for a new challenge.

He enjoys rooting on D.C. sports teams, including the Commanders, Wizards, and Capitals.

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