2021-22 Big Bash League Finals Series Betting Preview – Odds, Analysis, and BBL Predictions

| January 20, 2022 7:12 am PST

And then there were five.

Following a rollercoaster regular season, the Big Bash League Finals Series gets underway this Friday, January 21, with the Adelaide Strikers and Hobart Hurricanes doing battle in the Eliminator.

The Perth Scorchers and Sydney Sixers go head-to-head in Saturday’s Qualifier before the Sydney Thunder face the winner of the Eliminator in Sunday’s Knockout.

The Challenger takes place next Wednesday, with the Final going down on Friday, January 28. Are you with me? Don’t worry, everything will become clear as I take you through my BBL Finals betting preview.

Let’s get the ball rolling by checking out the latest odds for the Big Bash winner. I will then carry out an analysis of each team before sharing my predictions for the BBL Finals Series.

Updated Big Bash League Winner Odds (2021-22)

Perth Scorchers2.25
Sydney Sixers2.70
Sydney Thunder7.00
Adelaide Strikers13.00
Hobart Hurricanes13.00

Having crushed the regular season, Perth (2.25) is the bookmakers’ favorite to clinch the title. The Scorchers won 11 of their 14 regular-season matches, accumulating 40 points in the process.

The Sixers (2.70) are the bookies’ second favorites after finishing second on the ladder – five points behind Perth. Let’s not forget that the defending champions are aiming to secure their third successive BBL crown.

The top cricket betting sites view the Thunder (7.00) as the biggest threat to the two frontrunners. Trevor Bayliss’ men finished the regular season in strong form, winning seven of their final nine matches.

Adelaide (13.00) and Hobart (13.00) are priced evenly after finishing fourth and fifth, respectively. Since they are both three wins away from reaching the Final, their odds are much higher than the other three sides.

The Strikers won five of their last six matches to book their spot in the Finals Series. Meanwhile, the Hurricanes stumbled over the line – suffering a record-breaking thrashing at the hands of the Melbourne Stars on Wednesday.

Before you get stuck into my team analysis, make sure you get up to speed with the Finals Series schedule. As you can see, there are so many different possibilities.

The Scorchers Are the Team to Beat

There is no denying that Perth has been the strongest team in the BBL this season. The Western Australians lost just three of their 14 regular-season matches and claimed numerous dominant victories along the way.

After winning each of their opening six clashes, the Scorchers registered two wins in their next four outings before winning three of their final four matches. Their consistency has been unrivalled.

Over the past couple of months. AJ Tye has cemented his status as one of the greatest players in Big Bash history. With 20 wickets to his name, only two players have claimed more scalps than Tye this season.

Perth’s batters have also been unstoppable at times. Colin Munro, Kurtis Patterson, Mitch Marsh, Aston Turner, and Laurie Evans have all contributed runs throughout the campaign.

The Scorchers reached five of the first six BBL finals, losing the first two before winning three of the next four. They also made it to last season’s showpiece but fell at the last hurdle.

At the end of the day, the three-time champions know what it takes to go all the way. They produced one of the BBL’s most iconic moments when they beat the Sixers in the 2015 final – and they will be confident of doing the same this year.

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Can the Sixers Secure the Three-Peat?

Prior to the start of the campaign, I shared my top BBL futures for the 2021-22 season. Not only did I back the Sixers to clinch the title, but I also backed the Scorchers to reach the final. If you jumped on those juicy pre-season prices, you will probably be feeling smug right now.

Granted, the Sixers have not been at their imperious best this season. But they still managed to finish second on the ladder after losing just four of their 14 regular-season matches.

Josh Philippe and Moises Henriques have led the way with the bat. With 424 runs under his belt, Philippe sits third on the Golden Bat leaderboard. Henriques is 21 runs behind in sixth place.

The Sixers’ bowlers have been immense, too – especially the pacemen. Hayden Kerr is the second-highest wicket-taker in the competition, while Ben Dwarshuis and Sean Abbott aren’t too far behind.

Even when they are not at their best, Shipperd’s men invariably find a way to win. Having claimed each of the previous two titles, the double defending champions will be desperate to make history by sealing three straight BBL crowns.

Don’t Underestimate the Thunder

There was a point earlier in the season when the Thunder were unbeatable. They enjoyed a phenomenal six-match winning streak between late December and early January, beating Perth on two occasions during that period.

The Hurricanes ended the winning run before the Sixers inflicted a second straight defeat on the Sydneysiders. However, Bayliss’ boys beat the Melbourne Renegades last time out – meaning they head into the Finals Series on a high.

The Thunder won the BBL title back in 2016 but have failed to reach the showpiece since then. After falling in the Challenger in 2020, they were beaten in the Knockout last season. That said, there is a sense that Bayliss’ team can go one better this year.

Daniel Sams is capable of winning matches singlehandedly. Not only does the dangerous all-rounder sit equal fifth in the Golden Arm standings, but he also has 190 runs to his name after smashing 98* against the Renegades earlier this month.

If other key players like Jason Sangha, Alex Hales, Gurinder Sandhu, and Tanveer Sangha carry their impressive regular-season form into the Finals, the Thunder could be extremely difficult to spot.

The Strikers Are in Menacing Form

Not so long ago, the Strikers looked dead and buried. After winning just one of their opening eight matches, they needed something of a miracle to finish inside the top five.

As it turned out, the miracle came in the form of five wins in six matches. After the turn of the year, the South Australians beat Hobart, Brisbane, and Perth before seeing off both the Stars and Sixers to book their spot in the Finals.

With veteran paceman Peter Siddle leading the charge, Adelaide heads into the Finals as the competition’s most in-form team.

2021-22 Big Bash League – Most Wickets
  • Peter Siddle (Adelaide Strikers) – 23
  • Hayden Kerr (Sydney Sixers) – 22
  • Rashid Khan (Adelaide Strikers) – 20
  • AJ Tye(Perth Scorchers) – 20
  • Kane Richardson (Melbourne Renegades) – 19
  • Daniel Sams (Sydney Thunder) – 19

I feared the worst for the Strikers when Rahid Khan left for international duty, but they have coped without their star bowler. In fact, they haven’t just coped – they have taken their game to another level!

The 2018 champions are carrying a ton of momentum into the home stretch. Of course, they need to notch three straight wins to reach the showpiece. But they have already proved they can string together a series of victories when it matters.

Will Hobart Finally Win the Title?

Alongside the Stars, the Hurricanes remain one of only two teams without a Big Bash title to their name. Despite reaching the final in 2014 and 2018, the Tasmanians came away empty handed on both occasions.

This season, however, the Canes have a not-so-secret weapon. If Ben McDermott’s regular-season performances are anything to go by, he could fire his team to glory all on his own.

Player Team Innings Runs
Ben McDermott Hobart Hurricanes 12 571
Glenn Maxwell Melbourne Stars 13 468
Josh Philippe Sydney Sixers 13 424
Joe Clarke Melbourne Stars 13 419
Jonathan Wells Adelaide Strikers 14 409

As you can see, McDermott sits miles clear atop the Golden Bat leaderboard. The destructive opener has smashed two 100s (110*, 127) and three 50s (67, 93, 55) this season, averaging 51.90 with a strike rate of 153.49.

McDermott isn’t the only Hobart player that opposing teams need to be afraid of. D’Arcy Short and Matthew Wade have both scored 300+ runs this season, while Tom Rogers, Riley Meredith, and Sandeep Lamichhane all have 14+ wickets under their belt.

Although the Hurricanes scraped their way into the Finals Series, they are more than capable of getting their hands on the trophy. Let’s face it – nobody would be shocked if McDermott fired his side to the title, would they?

My Predictions for the Big Bash Finals

Ultimately, the Scorchers and Sixers are the obvious favorites for a reason. The winner of their Qualifier heads straight to the Final, while the loser gets a second shot at reaching the showpiece in the Challenger.

While the frontrunners are only two wins away from lifting the trophy, Adelaide and Hobart must win four consecutive matches to clinch the title. The Thunder, on the other hand, need to win three straight clashes to secure the crown.

With that in mind, I’m confident that either Perth or the Sixers will triumph on Friday, January 28. The tricky decision is picking the winner.

The Scorchers have been the strongest – and most consistent – team throughout the campaign. Not only did they win 11 of their 14 regular-season matches, but they also beat the Sixers on two occasions.

Although the Sixers have yet to reach the heights of the past two season, you cannot write them off. The reigning champs always rise to the occasion of the Finals Series, so I wouldn’t be surprised if they went all the way once again.

I expect Perth to come up against the Sixers in the showpiece, but that’s as far as I’m taking my Big Bash Finals predictions. Both sides deserve to lift the trophy, but only one can reign supreme.

Don’t forget that you can also wager on each individual match during the Finals Series. Head over to our cricket betting picks page to find match previews with odds, analysis, and more BBL predictions.

Ben Morris
Ben Morris

Ben is a sportswriter and tipster who specializes in soccer. Currently based in the UK, he has traveled all around the world watching – and betting on – his beloved sport.

Alongside his regular soccer content, Ben publishes blogs and picks for cricket, Formula 1, Aussie rules, darts, and various other sports.

Ben is a diehard fan of Nottingham Forest and England, so he hasn’t had much to cheer about in recent years!

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