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The 2020 NFL MVP Race – Who Will Win?
Before you make your NFL MVP prediction, remember that our last two honorees have been a couple of 23-year-old quarterbacks. Interestingly enough, Kyler Murray turns 23 in August, and Josh Allen is 23 for a couple more weeks.
On the opposite side of the spectrum, Tom Brady is a soon-to-be 43-year-old who is looking to capture this award for the fourth time.
Setting age aside, several names come to mind when you think about how the 2020 NFL MVP race could pan out.
NFL MVP Odds in 2020
If you gaze at this list and can’t find any defenders, it’s not because I left them off by mistake. It’s because Aaron Donald and the Watt brothers are among the NFL MVP sleepers listed at +10000 — the lowest odds installed for any defensive player.
In fact, J.J. Watt is hanging out at +250000 to win the 2020 MVP award at Bovada. Then again, Bovada capped Patrick Mahomes’ upside at +450 and listed Tom Brady at an unpalatable +800.
Those are just a few examples illustrating why you want to shop your lines at all of the leading NFL bookmakers online.
Let’s now shift our attention to the most realistic NFL MVP contenders. Keep in mind, Noah Davis showcased the defending champ in a separate post. For his take on if Lamar Jackson will win the 2020 NFL MVP, click here.
Patrick Mahomes (+600)
Surely you understand why Patrick Mahomes is the favorite to win the 2020 NFL MVP.
The 2018 NFL MVP led the Chiefs to a Super Bowl victory this past season and has all of his weapons back. KC even added a dynamic RB in the first round of the draft in Clyde Edwards-Helaire — someone who excels catching balls out of the backfield. The AFC West odds tell us the Chiefs won’t have much competition in their division, so racking up wins won’t be a problem.
Mahomes might not toss 50 touchdowns like he did in his coming-out party, but 45 TDs and 5,000 passing yards should be in sight.
Russell Wilson (+900)
After 35 touchdown passes and just 7 interceptions in 2018, it’s hard to think Russell Wilson could get more efficient. However, 31 TDs compared to just 5 picks in 2019 demonstrates that’s exactly what took place. Coming off three straight seasons of being in the heart of the MVP discussion, perhaps 2020 is when Wilson finally breaks through.
D.K. Metcalf gained a lot of confidence toward the end of his rookie year, and the addition of Greg Olsen gives Russell a safety blanket on third down.
Kyler Murray (+1000)
Kliff Kingsbury can’t wait to unleash last year’s Offensive Rookie of the Year. Kyler Murray accounted for 24 touchdowns and more 4,200 yards of offense, and that was before DeAndre Hopkins arrived. Adding one of the NFL’s truly elite wideouts to a group that already included Larry Fitzgerald and Christian Kirk must have Kyler licking his chops.
Exceeding 4,000 passing yards passing should be no problem in 2020, and he’ll probably tack another 700 or so on the ground. What Murray needs to do is make sure the Cardinals make a push toward the playoffs.
Tom Brady (+1200)
Tom Brady goes from having a depleted supporting cast in New England to a having a litany of talent in Tampa Bay. With Rob Gronkowski also joining the fold, the sky is the limit for the Buccaneers.
Tom might not boast the gaudy numbers to rival Patrick Mahomes, but the Bucs went 7-9 2019 and haven’t qualified for the postseason since 2007. If TB12 leads Tampa Bay into the playoffs, you better believe he’ll be part of the MVP conversation.
Dak Prescott (+1400)
It doesn’t take a rocket scientist to figure out that Dak Prescott is trending toward being a legitimate MVP candidate. The Cowboys signal-caller amassed 4,902 passing yards and 30 passing TDs in 2019, plus Dallas added CeeDee Lamb via the draft.
If Jerry Jones is worried about coughing up top dollar to get a long-term deal done, imagine what happens to the price tag in the event that Dak wins the MVP.
Deshaun Watson (+1800)
The departure of DeAndre Hopkins has most online bettors steering clear of Deshaun Watson in the 2020 NFL MVP betting market. It helps that you can track him down at +2500 at a couple of the top-rated NFL sportsbooks, but is that enough upside to get excited?
Many think Bill O’Brien and the Texans botched the NFL Draft, and Deshaun has never thrown more than 26 touchdowns in a season.
Aaron Rodgers (+2200)
For all the heat being thrown toward Aaron Rodgers lately, I say give the “Bad Man” a break. Aaron has quietly thrown 51 touchdowns and 6 interceptions over the last two seasons. It’s not his fault Packers GM Brian Gutenkunst refuses to get Rodgers some help.
Drafting Jordan Love in the first round and a 250-pound running back in round two doesn’t bode well for A-Rod’s MVP chances. What is does is open the door for a dialogue about a potential Aaron Rodgers trade.
Christian McCaffrey (+2500)
Stating that Christian McCaffrey had a fruitful year in 2019 might be the understatement of the century. A running back who rushes for 1,387 yards and 15 touchdowns is going to get noticed. One who also chips in with 116 receptions for more than 1,000 yards receiving immediately gets places in rarefied air.
You can latch onto CMC winning the MVP at +3300 at one of the best NFL betting sites, but here’s the issue with that.
If 2,392 yards from scrimmage and 19 TDs weren’t enough to win the award last year, it’s pretty evident this trophy is geared toward quarterbacks.
Who’ll Win the 2020 NFL MVP Race?
The NFL MVP race could go all the way down to the wire. Kyler Murray is an intriguing pick, and I think Tom Brady is going to have a superb year.
On the flip side, I’m looking around the league and trying to sort out who is going to stop Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs.
I’m searching and searching, but I keep coming up empty-handed.