10 Player Prop Bets to Target at Super Bowl 54
Betting on the Super Bowl is complicated by so many different websites and a never-ending list of Super Bowl prop bets.
It’s fun and rewarding, but it can also be pretty saturated in a hurry. That’s why we sort through the madness to locate the very best Super Bowl 54 sportsbooks, while we’ve also worked hard to find the best betting options online.
This post is solely dedicated to some of the best player props for Super Bowl 2020. It’s one person’s opinion, but I see these wagers as bets that are both fun and also appear to be too good not to target.
Tyreek Hill’s Longest Catch Will Be Over 30.5 Yards
Make no mistake about it, Tyreek Hill’s matchup with a stingy San Francisco 49ers secondary looks awful on paper.
Richard Sherman locks down one side of the field and anchors a pass defense that finished the regular season ranked #1 in passing yards allowed per game. The Niners even gave up the fewest 20+ yard plays on the year, too.
Daunting, to be sure.
And really, I think there’s a chance the 49ers largely limit the Chiefs in this game. But am I about to bet on one of the most explosive down-field threats being held in check for the entirety of Super Bowl 54?
No, no I am not.
Whether Hill hits one big early or is busy late trying to claw out of a deep hole, he’s a pretty good bet to spring at least one big play. Even better? You’re getting value back (+115) to take the Over.
Dee Ford Will Have Over 0.5 Sacks
Talk about some sweet revenge. Dee Ford got traded away by the Kansas City Chiefs this past offseason, and here he is now, ready to deliver some payback.
Ford ultimately got everything he wanted with the 49ers, and now he has a chance to win a title. But you can’t tell me trying to complete the highest NFL goal isn’t coming a little sweeter in Super Bowl 54.
Ford knows Kansas City’s system, and he is privy to Patrick Mahomes’ habits. Mahomes’ tendency to try to keep plays alive and look down the field could favor Ford here, too, while he only needs one sack (-145) to make you a winner.
Tyrann Mathieu Will Have Over 5.5 Tackles
The Honey Badger has been active as a tackler so far this postseason, as he has 12 total tackles and is coming off a big nine-tackle effort in the AFC title game.
Mathieu has elevated his game as the playoffs have moved along, and he’s topped this tackle total seven times on the year. With this being the biggest game of his life and the 49ers likely to run quite a bit, he should have plenty of opportunities here.
The 5.5 total is not too obscene, and bettors get a solid price at -125.
Patrick Mahomes Will Throw a 4th-Quarter Touchdown
No matter what the game script ends up being for Super Bowl 54, I love the odds of Patrick Mahomes throwing a touchdown at some point in the fourth quarter (-120).
If the 49ers are leading in a blowout, bettors can get a win via a garbage time score. If it’s a competitive game, it may, in fact, take a Mahomes touchdown in the final stanza to get the Chiefs the Lombardi Trophy.
One way or another, Mahomes is a touchdown threat at every level for all four quarters. In the biggest game of his life, I tend to imagine he finds the endzone late.
Jimmy Garoppolo Will Have Over 1.5 TD Passes
The sportsbook at MyBookie.ag offers several variations of this Super Bowl player prop bet, but this is the one I like the most.
People forget that Jimmy G tossed 27 touchdowns during the regular season (one more than Mahomes), while the 49ers passer has topped this specific touchdown total seven different times this year.
Whether it comes in victory or in defeat, I expect Jimmy Garoppolo to be pretty active in Super Bowl 54. A 54 game total supports that logic, while he has loads of explosive weapons that can make him look really good.
Garoppolo has thrown at least one touchdown in 14 games this year, and this game is likely going to demand he throw at least two. For a solid -125 price, I like the Over.
Patrick Mahomes Will Attempt Over 36.5 Passes
I am the first person that will tell you that Patrick Mahomes will have his work cut out for him in Super Bowl 2020. San Francisco has the defense edge all the way, and anyone assuming the Chiefs will drop 50 points here has another thing coming.
That said, Kansas City’s only real shot is to win through the air somehow in this one. Mahomes is the guy that makes their offense go, and whether the Chiefs dominate early or throw all day playing catch-up, it’s pretty logical to assume he’s fairly active.
The nice thing about pass attempts is that the final number has nothing to do with how successful you are against an elite defense. Mahomes has topped this pass attempt total six times on the year, and usually, it’s been because his team is playing from behind.
Where you stand on the game itself could decide this one for you, but Mahomes putting the ball in the air at least 37 times feels like a no-brainer at -110.
Raheem Mostert Will Top 67.5 Rushing Yards
Mostert has been fantastic for the 49ers and is coming off one of the best playoff performances in NFL history. Obviously, San Francisco would love to keep the good times rolling, but the guy doesn’t need to run for 200+ yards and four scores to win bettors some cash.
Instead, MyBookie.ag asks if he can put up 68 measly yards (-160).
That doesn’t seem like much to ask for, as San Francisco’s o-line is opening up massive holes, and Mostert has the vision and burst to maximize them. One long run could put him on pace to easily smash this yardage total, but 68 yards for an entire game isn’t really that tall of an order, regardless.
Raheem Mostert Will Score a TD in Super Bowl 54
Betting on Raheem Mostert finding the endzone (-170) doesn’t feel like a bad idea.
San Francisco loves to run the football down their opponent’s throats when possible, and it only makes sense to punch the ball in on the ground near the goal-line when you can.
Mostert found paydirt four times during the NFC title game and figures to be the Niners’ main squeeze in the ground game. Against a pretty beatable Kansas City front seven, I’d be mildly shocked if he didn’t score at least once on Super Bowl Sunday.
Damien Williams Will Have Fewer Than 13.5 Rushing Attempts
Kansas City has a very explosive offense that isn’t always easy to peg. One thing we do know, however, is that they don’t typically love to force-feed their top running back carries.
Damien Williams has proven quite useful, but the Chiefs prefer to diversify his touches, rather than ram him into the defensive line repeatedly. That’s kept him from topping this 13.5 rushing attempt total ten times on the year.
Williams is capable of carrying a full load, but the Chiefs will need to stay on their toes to keep a good 49ers defense guessing. Handing Damien Williams the rock 15+ times might be a great way to expedite their journey to failure.
Whether by design or due to trailing, I don’t expect Williams to run a ton in this one. The Under (-115) feels like an easy call.
George Kittle Will Have More Than 73.5 Receiving Yards
There are loads of Super Bowl 2020 player props to consider, but I’ll leave you with this George Kittle yardage prop. After being completely ignored in the first two rounds of the playoffs, Kittle’s receiving yardage total is shockingly high.
In the end, though, it probably won’t be high enough.
San Francisco may just run it up the gut all day if the Chiefs show zero resistance, but the odds favor Kyle Shanahan and co. finding a way to unleash their best offensive weapon.
Kittle can explode for big plays and take any touch the distance. I expect him to be way more involved in this game, and a huge game could follow. Targeting 74 yards here (-120) isn’t necessarily low-risk, but Kittle has averaged over 75 yards per game in each of the last two years.
Unless the 49ers are content risking a loss by not utilizing such a dangerous weapon, I’d be shocked if he’s not heavily involved come Super Bowl Sunday.
As you may know, there are plenty of paths to take when looking at how to bet on Super Bowl 2020. One of them is just focusing on the players and wagering how they’ll perform statistically.
The aforementioned Super Bowl 54 player prop bets are my personal favorites that I think can win some money during the big game.
The list grows much longer as you look across all of the top Super Bowl betting sites, however, so if you don’t see what you like in this post, just keep searching.
Whatever you do, good luck with your Super Bowl 2020 bets, and enjoy the game!