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NFC North Division Odds and Predictions

Long regarded as the black and blue division in the NFL, the NFC North promises to live up to that name in 2019. Khalil Mack and the Chicago Bears lead the way as the defending champs, while every team inside the division appeared to get better during the offseason.

Betting on the NFC North doesn’t look like an easy task going into 2019, as the top three teams have the odds fairly evenly split. Chicago also has the unfortunate task of trying to repeat as the division winner for the first time since the 2005 and 2006 seasons.

Whether you’re backing the Bears or not, bookmark this NFC North odds page for continued updates, NFC North predictions, and division analysis for the new year.

Latest NFC North Odds

Green Bay Packers-800
Minnesota Vikings+500

NFC North Predictions

  • Current Prediction (Michael Wynn): Green Bay Packers
  • Last Updated: December 20th

Yes, I picked the Vikings to win the NFC Championship, but that doesn’t mean I’m obligated to pick them to win their division. Even if Minnesota takes care of business on Monday night, all Green Bay needs to do to claim the NFC North is fend off the hapless Lions in Week 17.

  • Current Prediction (Noah Davis): Green Bay Packers
  • Last Updated: December 20th

The Packers have not been dominant in 2019, but they have been fantastic at game-planning and executing at times. They didn’t get to be 11-3 by accident and we know they can beat the Vikings. If they do it again in week 16, the division is theirs.

Previous NFC North Predictions and Analysis

December 5th

  • Prediction (Michael Wynn): Green Bay Packers

Minnesota can still win this division, but I imagine it’ll take running the table and finishing the year 12-4. It’s true that Green Bay has to travel to Minneapolis to play the Vikings in Week 16, but the combined record of the Packers other three remaining opponents is a paltry 12-23-1.

  • Prediction (Noah Davis): Green Bay Packers

Green Bay was my preseason pick to take the NFC North back and I see little reason to jump ship. I actually do tend to believe the Vikings are the more complete team, but Minnesota is a full game behind and can only split the season series. With a relatively easy schedule down the stretch, the Packers should hold onto first place.

November 21st

  • Prediction (Michael Wynn): Green Bay Packers

I’m leaning toward the Packers for now, but I’m very aware that Green Bay plays the Vikings in Minnesota in Week 16. However, now that Davante Adams’ turf toe is no longer an issue, the Packers offense should start to hit their stride.

  • Prediction (Noah Davis): Green Bay Packers

It’s Green Bay or Minnesota in the NFC North. The Packers have been my pick to win this division all along and I see no reason to deviate from that. They control their destiny and when picking between these two teams, it really may end up being as simple as Kirk Cousins vs. Aaron Rodgers. And do we really have to dive into that discussion?

November 7th

  • Prediction (Michael Wynn): Green Bay Packers

Minnesota has every right to think they can win the NFC North, but I’m still siding with the Packers for now. As dysfunctional as the offense looked versus the Chargers in Week 9, working Davante Adams back into the mix should help solve a lot of Green Bay’s deficiencies. Oh yeah, and that Aaron Rodgers guy isn’t too shabby.

  • Prediction (Noah Davis): Green Bay Packers

The Bears have fallen on the sword and the Lions can’t get out of their own way. Green Bay had a bad loss to the Chargers, but that happens. They just need to win that second meeting with the Vikings and the NFC North is theirs.

October 17th

  • Prediction (Michael Wynn): Green Bay Packers

All four teams are still alive in what is the deepest and most competitive division in all of football. As much as I want to pick the Bears to win it, they’ve dug themselves a fairly deep hole in the standings. As Davante Adams gets healthy and Aaron Rodgers continues to develop the offense, the Packers should only get stronger.

  • Prediction (Noah Davis): Green Bay Packers

I don’t have much reason to hop off of the Packers, who I backed to win the NFC North during the preseason. Their defense is nasty, Aaron Jones is turning into a superstar and Aaron Rodgers can still be a difference-maker. This is a very good division, but the Packers look like the best team in it.

October 3rd

  • Prediction (Michael Wynn): Chicago Bears

Mitchell Trubisky’s shoulder injury doesn’t appear to be too serious, and Chase Daniel is equipped to manage the team in the interim. At the end of the day, I still like Chicago to capture the NFC North. But I’d be lying if I said I wasn’t starting to believe that the Lions could actually wind up factoring in.

  • Prediction (Noah Davis): Green Bay Packers

Green Bay let me down in week four, but their defense is still far better than it’s been in years and we did see sprinklings of Matt LaFleur’s offense coming to life. The Packers have to clean some things up, but they’re still in a position to take this division if they stay the course.

September 19th

  • Prediction (Michael Wynn): Chicago Bears

Perhaps the best division in football from top to bottom, the NFC North is brutal. The Packers are for real, Minnesota’s defense is relentless, and even the Lions have now displayed that they are going to be a tough out. But for now, I still have faith in Chicago.

However, if Mitchell Trubisky doesn’t show me something soon, I’ll concede that this is Green Bay’s division to lose.

  • Prediction (Noah Davis): Green Bay Packers

Well, well, well, how the turn tables have…But in all seriousness, I felt the Packers made some major changes this offseason and it appears I was right. That defense just might be legit and if Aaron Rodgers and co. can ever get on the same page offensively, Green Bay is going to be a problem – and not just in this division.

September 5th

  • Prediction (Michael Wynn): Chicago Bears

There is no doubt that Green Bay’s defense got way better, but I think it could take Aaron Rodgers and Matt LaFleur some time before everything starts clicking. The problem for the Packers is by then, the Bears will be waving goodbye as they blitz past their NFC North foes.

  • Prediction (Noah Davis): Green Bay Packers

The outcome of week one won’t change my mind here, one way or another. Eventually, bettors will see that Green Bay’s new-look defense and improved offense are a problem for everyone else in this division. The Bears are the rightful favorite, but Aaron Rodgers is coming to reclaim what is his.

July 28th

  • Prediction (Michael Wynn): Chicago Bears

Mitchell Trubisky and Matt Nagy will continue blossoming together and will soon be recognized as one of the top HC/QB combos in the league. Oh yeah, and the Bears D is the stingiest in all of football.

  • Prediction (Noah Davis): Green Bay Packers

I’m back and forth on this division, but Green Bay made so many key changes that I can’t help but be intrigued. Chicago loses ground here, as Aaron Rodgers will be sparked by a more creative offense, and the legitimately stellar defensive changes could propel the Packers to new heights.

NFC North Related Blogs


Early 2019 NFC North Analysis (Noah Davis)

The NFC North is notorious for being Green Bay’s division, but they relinquished control with some regression over the past two years.

Minnesota rose to the top of the division in 2017, and the Bears followed suit in 2018, effectively putting all three teams firmly in play for the division. That’s certainly possible in the eyes of Vegas, which didn’t have the heart to hand any of these three teams poor odds to win the division.

The Detroit Lions are the lone team with a price worse than +240, yet even they appeared to get better during the offseason. There is a lot to digest with the latest NFC North betting odds, so let’s take a quick look at all four teams going into the new season.

Chicago Bears

The Bears are still largely the same team that took the league by storm in 2018, but they also have made some key changes. Gone is the stone-handed Jordan Howard and in comes talented rookie David Montgomery.

That move alone makes the Bears much more stable on offense, as Howard’s inability to positively impact the passing game is no longer such a liability. Chicago also virtually swapped safeties with the Packers, which in the end is more of a lateral move than a direct change.

Beyond that, Chicago is the same exciting band of misfits they were in 2018.

They defend at an elite level, they can run the football, and their offense is dynamic. The lone kryptonite for this team — other than playing in the same division as Aaron Rodgers — will be the possibly impeded development of starting quarterback Mitchell Trubisky.

Should Trubisky elevate his game to a whole new level, Chicago may be able to think about things much bigger than just capitalizing on their favorable NFC North odds.

Green Bay Packers

There is not necessarily a 1B to Chicago’s 1A, but if there is at this point, it very well could be the green and gold. The Packers still have the one thing nobody else in the NFC North possesses: Aaron Rodgers.

A-Rod has not been consistently himself for the past couple of seasons, but just when people start to doubt him, he wows everyone again. Rodgers is slowly exiting his prime, but there is enough there to think positively about his impact on Green Bay’s offense moving forward.

After all, Green Bay arguably inherited addition by subtraction, as they finally had a changing of the guard at head coach. In comes the young Matt LaFleur, who offers an offensive system that should allow the Packers to effectively run the ball and get wide receivers open with less work.

On top of this, Green Bay was aggressive in free agency and the draft, rebuilding a poor defense with several key moves. If Rodgers and the offense click and this defense is anything above pedestrian, the Packers just might have something special here.

Minnesota Vikings

The Vikings finally got the hint late in 2018 when they ditched their pass-happy ways and tried to run the ball more. It seemed to work, so much in fact that they seem intent on operating a much more run-balanced attack going into 2019.

Dalvin Cook is reason for optimism with this strategy, while the Vikings have the weapons through the air to get a return on their massive investment in quarterback Kirk Cousins.

That has to be the hope, at least, seeing as Cousins did not get the job done in his first season with the team after being handed huge money. In his defense, of course, the Vikings didn’t always protect him well and failed to establish the run consistently.

Should the offense balance out and produce on a regular basis, the Vikings could be special. The level-headed Mike Zimmer and an above-average defense could make sure of that.

Detroit Lions

The Lions are endlessly overlooked, which tends to happen when you have zero Super Bowl appearances in your franchise history. But this is a team that has struggled horribly to produce any kind of a rushing attack ever since Barry Sanders retired, so expecting much doesn’t come easy.

Betting on the Lions to win the NFC North shouldn’t be your first wager this year, but there is reason to believe Detroit is at least headed in the right direction. Bill Belichick disciple Matt Patricia has slowly fielded a capable defense, while stud running back Kerryon Johnson seems poised for a massive second season.

The lingering question with Detroit is two-fold: Are we just now seeing the beginning stages of Matthew Stafford’s decline, and will their positive changes be enough to close the gap between them and the rest of the division?

Judging by their weak NFC North odds, bettors may have to assume Detroit’s prospects aren’t great for 2019.

Initial NFC North Pick

If the latest 2019 NFC North odds didn’t convince you that this division is going to be tough to gauge, just look at how split our top NFL writers are.

Michael Wynn is running it back with the Bears, while I’m buying the positive offseason changes by the Packers. Vegas has Chicago favored, and the odds suggest bettors shouldn’t completely rule out the Vikings, either.

It’s a split call for now, which means you’ll have to continue your research and pick a side. Conventional wisdom leans toward the debate coming down to the Packers or Bears, however.

Previous NFC North Winners

Chicago won in 2018, but the NFC North has been a division ruled by the Green Bay Packers for the better part of the last two decades.

Not having a revolving door at quarterback plays a big hand in that, but Green Bay has been pretty fortunate in being able to call guys like Brett Favre and Aaron Rodgers their star passers.

That type of high-level play under center usually translates to winning, and since Favre debuted with Green Bay back in 1992, the Packers have won the NFC North title 12 different times. That dominance leaked into Rodgers’ tenure as the leader of the pack, with the Packers owning the division with five crowns in the last eight years.

Despite Green Bay being the team to beat for much of the past two decades, they aren’t even close to first when it comes to division titles throughout the NFC North history.

Here’s how the four current NFC North teams stack up in terms of division titles accrued over the years.

  • Chicago Bears – 21
  • Minnesota Vikings – 20
  • Green Bay Packers – 18
  • Detroit Lions – 4

History lends us some insight for the coming season, as the top three teams over the years are still the three best bets for bettors to consider.

A changing of the guard has dropped the Packers down a peg or two in recent years, but all three of these teams have a valid argument for being the winner going into 2019.

The parity is finally evident in this division, and it’s especially visible if you look back at the last ten NFC North division winners.

  • 2018: Chicago Bears 12-4
  • 2017: Minnesota Vikings 13-3
  • 2016: Green Bay Packers 10-6
  • 2015: Minnesota Vikings 11-5
  • 2014: Green Bay Packers 12-4
  • 2013: Green Bay Packers 8-7-1
  • 2012: Green Bay Packers 11-5
  • 2011: Green Bay Packers 15-1
  • 2010: Chicago Bears 11-5
  • 2009: Minnesota Vikings 12-4

Green Bay had a nice four-year streak atop the NFC North, but these teams have largely played a brutal game of musical chairs before and after that run.

There’s little denying that the Packers have had the most stable organization as a whole in this division over the past couple of decades, but the NFC North eventually caught up with them.

Of course, no other NFC North division winner has turned their division crown into more than Green Bay has. The Packers have advanced to five Super Bowls in team history and won three Lombardi Trophies, while only the Chicago Bears (one) can say they’ve won the big game.

Minnesota has reached the promised land four times but has never won, while the Lions have yet to even get to the final game of the year.

None of this guarantees bettors will land on the right winner, but the NFC North odds, predictions, and history all work together to suggest at least one team (Detroit) is unlikely to shock the collective NFL world.

Other NFL Division Betting Guides

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